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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 13 - 2013
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

It was quite a week in many financial markets. First of all, both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P index soared to new all-time highs, with the DJIA closing above 15,000 and the S&P above 1600. But this time new all-time highs were not limited to the USA. The German DAX and Argentina's Merval Index also broke to new high ground. Multi-year highs were also noted in the London FTSE, Netherlands AEX, Zurich's SMI, and Australia's All Ordinaries. The war on currencies in the form of historically low interest rates is producing inflationary results in world equities.

You would think this would also be bullish for precious metals, and to some extent it was. Gold and Silver opened sharply lower on Friday, but rallied strongly into the close. But they have a lot of ground to catch up after the huge decline of last month. Can they do it ? Yes they can, for their 4.25- and 4.34-year cycle lows respectively are due in this time frame, ideally early 2013.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

The best trade last week was probably in the Weekly Report for Currencies (and full weekly report), which advised the following on the Euro-Yen : Position traders are long with a stop-loss on a close below 118.86 or 124.00, depending on your risk allowance after covering half of them last week for profits. You may re-purchase those again at 129 or lower. Aggressive traders were long and exited all positions for profit. You may now go long again at 129.00 or lower with a stop-loss on a close below weekly support". The low of the week was on May 8 at 128.98. Two days later (Friday, May 10), it was trading above 132.00, its highest price in over three years.

Both Gold and Silver provided us with excellent trades last week. The weekly report on Gold advised , "Aggressive traders are also short... You may cover all shorts on a drop to 1404.50 +/- 19.50, reverse and go long with a stop-loss on a close below xx". The low was 1418.50 on Friday, May 10. It closed around 1447. Friday's daily report on Gold stated , "Position traders are flat and may buy on a drop below 1420 with a stop-loss on a close below xxx". The low was 1418.50 and the close was 1447. For July Silver, the weekly report advised , "Aggressive traders are also short with a stop-loss on a close above 2520. But let's cover all of these on a decline to weekly support (2328-2333), and go long if they close above weekly support after the cover". The low was 2315 and the close was about 2370.

New trades were also initiated on the daily reports in the stock markets last week, and profitable trades were exited in the T-Notes. All in all, it was a very active week for the MA daily and weekly subscription reports.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

There are two points to bring up this week. The first is that the third (of seven) passage of the Uranus-Pluto square is fast approaching on May 20. The first two of June 24 and September 19, 2012 were quite impressive. Stock markets around the world made a 30-month cycle low on June 4, just three weeks before the first passage. The week of June 25 they challenged that low and held, followed by a powerful rally that lasted into September 19 +/- two days. There was secondary top on October 5 in the DJIA - and a big crest in Gold that day too - but basically the majority of the rally was completed around September 19, and then the "Fiscal Clif" crisis psychology took over. Thus, we expect something powerful to transpire with financial markets within three weeks of May 20, and maybe very close to that date itself.

Second, we are about to experience a lot of Gemini energy, and that could be quite confusing, for an emphasis of Gemini is like giving amphetamine to an insomniac who doesn't know where or when a sentence should end. Jupiter has been in Gemini for nearly a year already and will remain there until June 25. On May 9, Venus entered Gemini. This is followed by Mercury and the Sun doing the same on May 15 and 20 respectively. Now, one thing we observe about Gemini is that they don't like being observed. They move quickly, from one topic to another. In markets, they move quickly too, from sudden jerks up to just as sudden jolts back down. But with Jupiter there, many markets may tend to be more up than down, but not enough that you can count on anything remotely connected to, say, stable. Another thing to understand about Gemini - especially Jupiter in Gemini - is that many financial markets make long-term cycle highs or lows and then reverse. That could be good for Gold and Silver, which may have recently made a long-term cycle low, but not so good for equities, which are in the midst of making long-term cycle highs.

Longer Term Thoughts :

"Rising government revenue from tax collections... are shrinking the federal deficit faster than expected (but). the government has roughly $16.7 trillion in debt, with numbers rising because the government still spends more money than it brings in". - Damien Paletta, "Falling Deficit Alters Debate". Wall Street Journal (front page), Friday, May 10, 2013.

Hmmmm... where did we see this before? Oh yes!

"The image (from the grand trine of Jupiter-Saturn-Neptune in mid-2013) that comes to mind here is that the USA receives wonderful news about its tax revenues by mid-2013. They are at new all-time highs. The revenue side of the debt equation has improved dramatically. But unfortunately, this has led to a false confidence and/or analysis, for the decision has also been made to increase the spending side of the equation. Revenue has increased, but spending also increases dramatically too, in contradiction to the promises that were made before. Thus after the initial windfall from tax revenues wears off and the retraction from higher taxes kicks in, companies have to start laying employees off again and the national spending rate (consumer spending) starts to contract. The country soon realizes that the increased spending side of the equation by the government has resulted in another downward fiscal trajectory for the nation's balance sheet. By spring of 2014, this may suddenly become a renewed issue". - Raymond Merriman, Forecast 2013 Book, page 39, written in November 2012.

OK, so I am cheeky for quoting myself. I am brash for pointing out that I called it long before it happened, at a time others were calling for the opposite based on the "Fiscal Clif". that was looming ahead on January 1. I admit this is in bad taste to call attention to oneself in one's own column. But that's not the point here (well, OK, it is to a minor extent). The bigger point is that this very issue is unfolding exactly as would be expected according to the principles of Financial Astrology, pertaining to the USA economy. It's more about that - much more about that - than it is about my awesome skills of prognostication, which are not always so awesome, but often enough that you read this column, subscribe to my services, attend my speeches, and occasionally write me nice letters, which means so much to someone who was blessed - or cursed, depending on your viewpoint - with a Sun and Moon in Capricorn.

So, let's get to the point, because really, there is a point to starting this section of the column off with these two quotes. It's about the awesome planetary configuration coming up this summer. Actually, it's about two planetary configurations coming up this summer. The first is the Grand Trine between Jupiter, Saturn, and Neptune in 4 degrees of water signs on July 17. The other is the "Kit". formation of mid-July through August 2013, which includes Pluto entering the Grand Trine configuration, but making an opposition to Jupiter, and a sextile to both Saturn and Neptune. The degrees involved here are 4-9 degrees of the water signs, plus Capricorn.

What does this mean ? First of all, a Grand Trine is considered the most fortunate - benevolent - of all planetary configurations in the study of astrology (well, by most astrologers, not by all astrologers). It has the appearance of an equilateral triangle in the horoscope (a picture of the skies as seen from earth). Because it involves three of the five outermost planets in the solar system, events and decisions made under this Grand Trine can last for many years, even decades. Because Jupiter and Saturn are involved, these decisions are probably noteworthy in the field of law or government. Because Pluto is involved, it can also pertain to debt and taxes. Hence my forecast back in November that a so-called "Grand Bargai" regarding the USA debt predicament could be reached. But I have changed my mind on that. I really don't think that will happen, given the current USA leadership's dysfunction and inability to get along with one another on anything to do with . money and finances. Keep in mind that Pluto is in an opposition with Jupiter, so don't expect any agreement to come easily here regarding economy, finances, and taxes. The two sides may as well be from two different planets with two different currencies and two different ideologies of what works. That's not likely to change this year, despite the new thrust of hosting dinners for the opposition.

But something big and important can still be agreed upon this year by lawmakers in the USA. Why the USA and not many other places ? Because the USA has its natal Venus and Jupiter in the first 5 degrees of Cancer. Jupiter will be there, and both Neptune and Saturn will form their grand trine to this point. Anyone or any entity (like a nation) with natal planets in early Cancer stands to benefit from this cosmic windfall. Something big and worth celebrating can happen in the USA this summer.

I now think it will involve immigration reform, for Jupiter rules matters to do with "foreign affair". and Saturn rules "laws". Neptune also has to do with compassion for those who suffer but still have dreams and ideals intact of a better life somewhere in the world. So the combination can lead to a "Grand Bargai". or a big cooperative achievement on something that is humane and compassionate. Finances are not that. However, a pathway to citizenship from those who wish to enter the USA and start a new dream does fall into this category.

In the meantime, the Saturn-Neptune part of the grand trine is a very powerful market timing indicator from mid-June through mid-July. It peaks then as both go stationary in that period, exactly in trine to one another. Give it an orb of six weeks surrounding this time frame, and I think you may be looking at a point when investor sentiment changes from euphoria and confidence to new worries. It might have something to do with the "Grand Bargai". talks stalling in regards to tax reform and government debt. It might have something to do with the realization that a slew of new taxes related to the Affordable Health Care program is causing companies to re-organize and cut back on their work force and the hours they work. With Saturn in Scorpio too, it's headed right into the "Time of Reckonin". where debt is concerned. You may make more money than ever before, but it still adds up to debt if you spend more than you bring in. Numbers don't lie.

To be continued (next week). 

Announcements :

             The April 6-8 webinar and live presentation on Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets has been completed. The DVD of this extraordinary event will be available in about one two weeks. The LMS (Learning Management System) will also be available for uploading to new students who want to avail themselves of this training over the next two years. The LMS is expected to be available in about 6 weeks. You will be able to order the DVD through MMA and MMTA's website shortly. If you wish to place your order sooner, please call Maureen Hogan or Amber Lundsten at 1-248-626-3034, or email to mhogan@merrimanmta.com. The cost of the DVD or the LMS will be $3000. It includes the 130+-page workbook, which follows right along with the DVD and LMS program.

             The student and apprentices of MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) are now completing their first assignment, which was to identify and analyze the long-, intermediate-, and short-term cycles of a financial market of their choice, and make a forecast based on those cycle studies and research. The first of these papers has been received on an analysis of the Italian Stock Market, from Massimo Moras and Leonard Farina. It is excellent. If you would like to read this paper - and others to come from these MMTA student-apprentices, feel free to do so at http://www.merrimanmta.com/reports/index.shtml, or www.merrimanmta.com, under "Student Research". I think you will be as impressed as I am of the quality of work these students are performing already.

             Following the last MMTA workshop in April, MMA entered into an official affiliation with MetaStock. As most of our subscribers know, MetaStock has been my preferred analysis tool for several years now. I particularly appreciate the crispness of their graphics, excellent scanning capabilities, and wide range of technical indicators that I use in the analysis of our various reports. As part of our affiliation, MetaStock is offering special discount and free trial to all MMA readers and subscribers. If you would like to try a free trail of Metastock in order to view and evaluate their charting software, please go to www.metastock.com/merriman . Let us know what you think.

             Copies of the recent talk given in Phoenix, Arizona are now available in either a CD form at or MP3 audio version. Each order will also receive the power point presentation that goes along with the speech. It was good speech, titled, Outlook for Political, Economic, and Financial Trends for 2013. You may call 1-248-626-3034 to see, or you may email us at ordersmma@msn.com for an update. It should be available as well on our website by early next week.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Forecast 2013 Book : is out. And the E-Book will be out early next week (our apologies for the delay, but it is coming). In retrospect, this year's book was the most enjoyable to write in a long time. It was very pleasing to hear our editors in both the USA and abroad comment that it was also their most enjoyable read of all the ones they have edited. I think that may be due to the fact that I gave a wealth of advice on what to do now - a well-thought out investment plan for 2013 based on the implications of cycles and geocosmic studies as they apply to 2013. The book may still be pre-ordered at $55.00, plus postage prior to December 15. It will also be available in an e-book format at these same prices, and with no postage costs. The book is 160 pages, and as always, a limited number will be printed, based on pre-publications sales. So order now, save big bucks, and make sure you reserve your 2013 book before they sell out!!! Once they sell out, however, you can still buy the electronic book version.

To order, you may call MMA offices at 1-248-626-3034, or contact Amber. Or go to our website link. We have also posted a Scorecard of this year's forecasts.
By the way, 2013 should be very interesting as there will be a super-rare configuration in effect by the summer. We are doing our research on the frequency of this pattern now, along with its historical corresponding themes.

             We are pleased to announce the completion of The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 2 : Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles. We expect this book to be in print sometime in September - hopefully in time for the September 15-16 workshop. This means that the special $75.00 pre-order rate will end August 15. At that point, the normal rate of $125 (plus postage) will go into effect. To take advantage of the special pre-order discount price, please go to.

             Recently I announced that I will be starting a new direction in life over the next two years, involving a mentor-apprenticeship program on Financial Market Timing and Analysis, according to the unique methodology I have developed over the past 30+ years. I didn't expect any response yet, as we are still developing the format. But... there has been a huge response! We know we are behind the curve on getting out information on this rapidly developing project, but we are working out the details and more announcements will be made shortly. So far we have determined that the training will take place over eight weekends stretching from 2013-2014. The dates for 2013 have now been selected. They are : April 6-8, June 15-17, Aug 10-12, and Oct 12-14. The 2014 schedule will be determined in 2013 . These 8 sessions will be the only time that Raymond Merriman will give this entire training in person. Applications for the On Line Market Timing Academy (OLMTA) are being accepted now. There will be an introductory training session, September 15-16 in Troy, Michigan (see below). For more information, or an application form, please contact Amber Lundsten, call 1-248-626-3034, or go to or scroll down the opening page (next page) of www.mmacycles.com. Raymond Merriman's Market Timing Academy (MMTA) will offer a pre-training course on Beginning Principles of Financial Astrology for Financial Market Timing, September 15-16, in Troy, Michigan, at the Management Education Center of Michigan State University. This 10-12 hour course may be attended live, in person, or via webcast televised to your computer. An archive of this workshop will be available for 30 days afterwards to those who sign up. This workshop will basically train non-astrologers in the use of reading an ephemeris, the table of planetary positions for any given day. This is essential to anyone who wishes to understand how to find a geocosmic critical reversal date for financial markets. This course (or audit of it) is a pre-requisite for anyone entering the MMTA market training course, as developed and instructed by Raymond Merriman. The MMTA two-year training course will begin in April 2013, and will involve 8 weekends of study - 4 weekends each in 2013 and 2014. For more information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com (front page, near bottom). We will make announcements as this training program unfolds. The cost for the September 15-16 pre-training workshop is $395.00 ($300 for MMA subscribers). This cost will be deducted from the fee of the two-year training course to those who apply and are accepted into MMTA by October 15, 2012.
The DVD of the MMTA pre-training workshop on How to Read an Ephemeris is now out! The cost of the 8-set, 10+ hour DVD packet, is $395.00 plus postage, and will include the workbook. If you are a trader, analyst, or student interested in enhancing your skills in market timing, or if you are considering applying for admittance to the MMA Market Timing Academy (MMTA), then this DVD is highly recommended.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             The DVD of the Denver Workshop on Financial Market Timing is still available! This financial markets workshop offers a completely unique and original perspective, integrating :

1) Market Timing studies,

2) Price Objective calculations,

3) Technical Analysis,

4) Pattern Recognition studies, and

5) Trend Analysis.

The primary focus of this workshop is on Market Timing Studies, particularly Cycles Analysis and Geocosmic Studies, as leading indicators that identify when to anticipate a reversal in all financial markets. Gold and the U.S. stock market are studied in great detail, especially regarding their current status. There is a wealth of timely and valuable information in this DVD, especially pertaining to the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012, lasting through March 2015, and the important Jupiter correlation to stock market cycles coming up August-November 2012 and March-May 2013. The cost for this 4-hour DVD is $180.00 plus postage. To order, or call Amber at 1-248-626-3034. If you are a trader or investor who appreciates the value of market timing - especially in the next few months - this is a presentation you will not want to miss.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             May 30 - June 2, 2013 : Great Lakes Astrology Conference, Ann Arbor, MI. Featuring internationally known astrologers, Michael Lutin, Chris McRae, Monica Dimino, Glenn Perry, Lea and Aleksandar Imsiragic, Sandra Leigh Serio, and Raymond Merriman. For further information, please contact Pamela Wenzel at jcweipw@juno.com, or visit their Facebook page.

             June 15-17, 2013 : MMTA Course 2 : Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Cycles in Financial Markets with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             August 10-12, 2013 : MMTA Course 3 : Geocosmic Correlations to Primary and Trading Cycles in Financial Markets with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             October 12-14, 2013 : MMTA Course 4 : Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Reversals in Financial Markets with Raymond Merriman. Location : MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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