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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
November 25- 2013
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

"Because QE was relentlessly pumping money into the financial markets during the last five years, it killed the urgency for Washington to confront a real crisis : that of a structurally unsound U.S. economy… Meanwhile, the country remains overly dependent on Wall Street to drive economic growth".

• Andrew Huszar, Manager of Federal Reserve's $1.25 trillion agency mortgage-backed security purchase program in 2009-2010, "Confessions of a Quantitative Easer", Wall Street Journal, November 12, 2013.

Our comments last week relating the Uranus-Pluto waxing square to the massive market intervention of the Federal Reserve Bank as the reason why the stock market is - and will continue - soaring to new all-time highs did not meet well with many readers. However, it followed through according to this celestial script again in last week's trading U.S. stock indices soared to yet another new all-time and/or multi-year high. However, most other world stock indices rallied, but failed to make new all-time highs. So maybe there is cause for worry.

There is no doubt that the investment world could change in a flash. After all, this is Uranus square Pluto. Whenever Uranus is involved, markets can soar higher than anyone expected. It is an astrological signature of breakouts and bubbles. Uranus has no respect for limits, laws, rules, or even constitutions. In fact, boundaries and rules in financial markets (as well as governments) are simply imaginary lines that are waiting to be broken in the quest for more freedom - freedom to do what one wants, and in cases of human rights and liberties, which they deserve. But in terms of markets, Uranus also has a reactive side. When it soars to new all-time highs, it will just as quickly reverse and then fall below the boundaries of support, much lower than anyone expected. One can get dizzy during a long Uranus aspect to another planet. In this case, the waxing square to Pluto will last 33 months, the longest of any planetary aspect of our lifetime (other than perhaps Neptune sextile Pluto, which is not quite as major an aspect as a waxing square).

So here is the Financial Astrology dilemma. Uranus square Pluto correlates with massive Fed market intervention, and hence manipulation, which keeps stock prices rising. But two things can suddenly change that. First, the Fed may announce it will modify, or taper, its QE program shortly. After all, Venus will turn retrograde December 21 through January 31. That is a time when central banks often change their policies. Even the thought of that gives the addicted investment community a bad case of the shakes. Second, Uranus-Pluto may soon correlate with a shift in investor attention from the drug-like world of quantitative easing to the reality of political upheaval and social chaos. That may also produce a case of the shakes, even more violent than the withdrawal symptoms that would surely follow the start of Fed tapering. One or both of these situations are consistent with the T-square now in effect from Jupiter to the Uranus-Pluto square (August 2013 through April 2014).

The Fed announced this week that it might begin its tapering maneuvers very shortly. It just needs to figure how to frame its narrative, its "forward guidance", so investors don't panic as they did last May-September when the same idea was floated - and then dropped. My question to the Fed : what makes you think that words, or rhetoric, is going to make the medicine go down easier ? As stated before, this quantitative easing and historically extreme accommodative monetary easing policy is now like an addictive drug. Try convincing someone trying to rid him or herself of an addiction to alcohol or smack (heroin) that counseling - and only counseling - will make going cold turkey a lot easier. Words will not matter if the treatment - actions - aren't correct. It's physical, not intellectual.

This is also why Gold and Silver will come back shortly, and very strong. I know, I know... Gold is so "yesterday" according to one analyst who will remain nameless here. Yes, it is yesterday, much more yesterday than any other form of financial exchange - and for a reason. In times of financial and political uncertainty, Gold becomes in great demand as a means of exchange as it always has. It may not happen this week, or even before the middle of next year. But once this long-term half-cycle low is completed, it too will reverse and in my opinion, will yet make another all-time high. Which reminds me : I just put out another special update on Gold last week for those who subscribe to our services. If you want a copy, let us know. You can also receive last week's monthly MMA Cycles report, even with a trial subscription. And of course, I am right at the end of writing the Forecast 2014 Book, so I am "switched on" right now. Next year's geocosmic line up has me jazzed. It's spectacular. That tells me there will be changes in the financial and political arenas that will also be spectacular. What a time to be living in!.

So in the end, I hold to last week's comments that stock indices will continue to soar as long as the central banks continue their massive intervention in financial markets. But to that, I want to add… "or until investor attention shifts from central bank policy to that of political and social upheaval". Both of those possibilities (tapering and political chaos) are within the dynamic of this powerful cardinal T-cross of Jupiter, Uranus, and Pluto through April 2014. In fact, at the very end, Mars will join them to form an almost exact cardinal grand square April 20-25. We may start seeing signs of this change in policy and reversal of investor attention as early as Venus turning retrograde, December 21, +/- one week. Is it possible the Fed would use the holiday season, when markets are closed for several days, to try and roll out a new forward guidance for tapering ?.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

The best of the weekly trades were in the stock indices. For the DJIA, the weekly report advised, " Position traders are flat and may buy at 15,850 +/- 25, with a stop-loss on a close below 15,150.Aggressive traders (are short and advised to) cover and go long at 15,850 +/- 25 if offered, with a new stop-loss on a close below 15,700". The low of the week was right there at 15,865. It closed this week on a record high at 16,064. The weekly S&P for aggressive traders advised, "Look to cover (shorts taken out the prior week) and reverse back to the long side on a drop back to 1780 +/- 5, with a stop-loss on a close below 1765". The weekly low was 1774.50. It closed this week also at an all-time high of 1801.

The best trades in the daily report were also in stocks. Wednesday's report on S&P futures advised, "Position traders are flat and may go long on a decline to 1773 +/- 3 with a stop-loss on a close under 1745 or 1760, depending on your risk allowance". The low that day was 1774.50 and it closed this week above 1800. The daily report went long DJIA and NASDAQ too. The daily also did well in Gold, which at the end of the prior week (November 14) advised aggressive traders, "Let's sell again at 1290-1295, with a stop-loss on a close above 1295". The high was 1293.80 that day and Gold closed this week around 1242.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

There are some important geocosmic signatures this week that Financial Astrologers will be watching. First, the Sun began its month-long trek in Sagittarius on Thursday, November 21. That has bullish implications, even explosive bullish implications, for equities. On Sunday, the Sun will form a waning square with Neptune, which in our studies ranks as a Level 1 (most powerful and most consistent) reversal signature within 12 trading days. This is probably just more of the "blame game" going on in Washington D.C. Neptune in hard aspect is misinformation, often delivered intentionally to cause confusion and to distract from the real problems, which have to do with trust issues.

Markets will be closed in the USA next Thursday in observance of Thanksgiving, but Venus will be in opposition to Jupiter then. And next Saturday, November 30, the Sun will trine Uranus. All of these signatures continue to support stock prices, although they could also correspond to a temporary high. It is the December 17-21 period we have to be careful of, for that is when both Uranus and Venus change directions. In sympathy, look for various parts of the government or central banking system to also change directions, or at least talk about changes soon to be made. Even the "talk" could be upsetting, given that Uranus squares Pluto. The station of Uranus will highlight the bigger aspect between Uranus and Pluto. It's all about changes - abrupt changes - and then changing again when the changes don't work out so well.

Longer Term Thoughts :

... will resume after the Forecast 2014 Book is completed, possibly next week.

To be continued (next week). 

Announcements :

             The Forecast 2014 Book is on schedule to be completed and delivered on December 15, 2013. The Forecast 2014 Book will cover the second Cardinal Climax peak period, which is in effect August 2013 through April 2014. It will discuss the world and national outlook for the economy and politics, the collective psychology, "hot" times during the year to watch, as well as our long-term and yearly outlook for U.S. stock indices, Gold, Silver, Treasuries and interest rates, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. It is available as a print edition or e-book. For a review of last year's forecasts, and/or more information on ordering Forecast 2014, please go to www.mmacycles.com.

             Mark your calendars for December 14. That will be the date when we conduct a webinar (and live speech) on Forecasts 2014. This two-hour presentation will begin at 7:00 PM, EST, and will be telecast worldwide. The cost will be $45.00. It will cover the Cardinal Climax, the Uranus-Pluto square: where we've been, where we are, and where we are going in 2014, as it pertains to global and national politics, economics, and collective psychology. It will also give our outlook for the U.S. stock market, Gold, and Silver for 2014. The announcement will be posted on MMA's website shortly. In the meantime, you may reserve your spot in this webinar by calling Amber at 1-248-626-3034 or email her.

             The first year of MMTA (the Merriman Market Timing Academy) is now completed!!! Course 4 was the course that short-term traders had been waiting for!!! And in about 3-4 weeks, it will be available on DVD or as an LMS on-line video. If you are a short-term trader, and want to know the best times to trade each month based on Sun-Moon signs and lunar phases, then this is the course you will not want to miss! There is nothing like this course taught anywhere else. The title for this course is "Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Trading Cycles", and it covered topics like : the General Flow of Moon Through the Signs and its Correspondence to Price Activity in U.S. Stock Market and Precious Metals; Formal Research Studies that Measure the Correlation of Solar-Lunar Combinations to Short-Term Trading Reversals in Financial Markets (Tops and Bottoms) ; Important Sun-Moon Correlations for U.S. Stocks ; Important Sun-Moon Correlations for Silver; Understanding the Trade Set Up for Optimal Use of Solar-Lunar Reversals; Enhancing timing using intraday charts (60-, 30- and 5-minute charts) ; and much more. The cost of this course is $2750.00, plus postage if ordering DVD, or no postage if uploading from our website. The course includes the Course 4 workbook, which is worth the price of the course itself. Short-term trading, as discussed in this course, pertains to positions lasting as short as a few hours (one day) to as long as three weeks.
For information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com or www.merrimanmta.com, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             Course 3 of MMA's Market Timing Academy took place August 10-12, 2013, at the Management Education Center (MEC) in Troy, Michigan. The title of this course is "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles. " It defined trading cycles - their length and patterns - and show which geocosmic signatures coincide with primary, half-primary, major, and shorter-term trading cycles in several financial markets, i.e. gold, silver, stock indices, currencies, grains. It discussed the historical correlation of Mars in Scorpio and heliocentric Mercury on Sagittarius to sharp swings in gold and silver, and how to trade them. The DVD and LMS of this course will be available around mid-September. This is a course you will not want to miss! The cost is $2750 for each.
For information and registration, please go to here or there, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             Course 2 of MMTA, titled".Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles in Financial Market". has been completed!!! The raw footage of this course is now available, and the DVD will be available in six weeks. This course examined the correlation of Pluto, Neptune, Uranus, Saturn, and the Moon's North Node to long-term trends and their cycle troughs and crests in many financial markets, including stock indices and precious metals, going back over 200 years. Special attention was be given to the Uranus-Pluto and Saturn-Neptune cycles in various financial and commodity markets, plus the transit of Jupiter through the signs of the zodiac and its correlation to long- and intermediate-term stock market and Silver cycles. The cost of this raw footage or DVD is $2750. For information and/or registration, please go to here or there, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             If you are interested in a review of Course 1 of MMTA that took place April 6-8, please visit here. Or go to the www.mmacycles.com website and scroll down the first page. Henry Canciglia has an extensive background in the U.S. political and intelligence community. He is a graduate of the U.S. Military Academy, West Point. Henry is one of the 15 apprentices for the two-year MMTA course.

             Next year's second year of MMTA courses will begin in March 2014. Please visit www.merrimanmta.com for more information, and research papers on market timing findings conducted by apprentices, which are posted as they are received. Many of these are extremely well done and valuable.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             December 14, 2013, 7:00 PM, EST : Forecast 2014 speech to the world!!! This will be presented live in Troy, MI and telecasted as a webinar as well. Two-hours, focusing on the Cardinal Climax, the Uranus-Pluto waxing square, world and national politics, as well as Gold, Silver, and the USA stock market. Not to be missed, as 2014 may the most important year of all the seven years of the Cardinal Climax (2008-2015)! Cost is $45.00, and registration ends December 12. Limited seating for those who wish to attend in person. Call 1-248-626-3034 Michigan.

            January 17, 2014 : Zurich, Switzerland. "Lessons from the Uranus/Pluto-Square and Second Peak of the Cardinal Climax April 2014". This will part of a congress on Forecasts 2014.

             January 18, 2014 : Zurich, Switzerland : sponsored by AstroData. A special 5-hour workshop on "The Current Cyclical State of Financial Markets : Where Do We Go from Here ? " 1:00 PM - 6:00 PM. Location will be the Congress House in Zurich. Sponsored by AstroData and MMA-Europe.
For further information, please go to there, or contact ASTRODATA AG, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email. This will be special, and a great opportunity to meet some very impressive market timers who will be present. Register now as seating is limited !.

             March 24-27, 2014 : Scottsdale, AZ or Troy, MI. MMTA Course 5: "Price Targets and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets". Special Guest contributor will be Noboru Takesaka.

             June 2-5, 2014 : MMTA Course 6 : "Advanced Support-Resistance Calculations for Trading".

             August 25-28, 2014 : MMTA Course 7 : "Combining Technical Studies, Cycles, and Critical Reversal Dates for Traders".

             September 25-28, 2014 : The ISAR International Astrology Conference, Phoenix, AZ. This will be the "big one" next year with dozens of well-known international astrologers present ! Mark your calendars and plan to attend it. Information will soon be available at www.iasastrology.com.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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