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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
December 2 - 2013
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

The Market Week in Review :

"There is now a growing realization that what the world has been through isn't the usual post World War II recession and recovery. It's worse. It's different. It's chronic... Major economies and their elected leaders are relying too much on their central banks and too much on exports... Indeed, they (central banks) are explicitly using monetary policy to compensate for shortsighted fiscal policy ... These efforts were and continue to be a good way to avoid a repeat of the Great Depression. But monetary policy itself can't solve chronic growth problems".     

David Wessel, "Needed : Global Coordination", Wall Street Journal, November 29, 2013

As expected, U.S. equity indices were up last week, with several making new all-time highs. The same was true in Germany, as the DAX also posted a new all-time high. That was not the case elsewhere, however, as many global equity markets traded sideways to slightly lower. Gold and Silver started the week lower, but ended up rallying into Friday.

Even though it was a holiday week in the USA (or maybe because it was a holiday week), there were a surprising number of important developments in the world. The White House and Iran have announced an agreement to slow down Iran's push towards a nuclear weapon, much to the dismay of Israel and several American lawmakers, who believes the agreement gives away too much and gets back too little from Iran. Yet this is entirely consistent with the USA's progressed chart, which finds progressed Mars now retrograde (withdrawal from military might) for the next 75+ years, and progressed Sun in Pisces for the next 23 years. This latter signature implies the wish to shift from the world's premier military power to the world's premier peace-making power. This is also consistent with President Barack Obama's own chart, which finds transiting Neptune (the wish for peace, as it rules Pisces) in a square aspect to his natal Moon and opposition to his natal Pluto. However, the hard aspect from Neptune to his natal planets is also a signature of potential deception and betrayal - either by him to the American public, and towards him by others. He is vulnerable to a series of poorly thought-out decisions, miscalculations, and even scandals from February 2013 through March 2015. His issues are almost entirely about trust, as one cover-up after another is revealed and proves to be embarrassing for him. As long as he is transparent and discloses all the details that the public needs to know in order to make an informed decision themselves, he prospers under these aspects. If not, then this soap opera will continue, and with it, his favorability and approval ratings will continue to fall to new lows, as they have steadily been doing since February.

Yet something big appears to be developing in both the political and economic world, according to geocosmic studies. Uranus is entering the second half of its 33-month waxing square to Pluto. The first half represents the cover-ups (Pluto). The second half represents the revelations (Uranus). And now Uranus and Pluto are also in the midst of the T-cross with Jupiter (August 2013 through April 2014). It ends with a cosmic bang in April-May, as Mars enters the mix by forming a cardinal grand square to Jupiter, Uranus, and Pluto, during its retrograde period (March 1-May 19, 2014). In addition to cover-ups and revelations, this period also represents heightened social unrest, much like what is occurring in Thailand now. It also represents changes of monetary policies by central banks, but I don't think they work out smoothly, for reasons discussed in last week's column. You cannot end the market's addiction to easy money without severe withdrawal symptoms, no matter how much importance is placed upon counseling ("forward guidance").


Thus, the equity markets are doing quite well, and will continue to do well as long as the central banks continue "feeding the beast". However, Venus will turn retrograde December 21, 2013, followed by Mercury retrograde in February, followed by Mars retrograde in March-May. All of these retrogrades (Venus and Mars are the most important planetary retrogrades in my opinion) imply that many new efforts will be tried - and then taken back.

One can only wonder what will happen if the European Central Bank or the Federal Reserve Board attempt to assess their member banks a negative interest rate return for short-term borrowing in order to force them to lend more of their monies to people. I shudder to think what the banks will do in turn to their depositors if that happens. More importantly, what people will then do to their banks? You want a reason why Gold and Silver may take off again? There it is. Would you wish to pay the banks interest to hold your money and watch your capital deplete, or convert to metals, if this venture into insanity begins ?.

Bottom line : these geocosmic signatures suggest that stock markets could embark upon a sharp decline before May 2014, especially if central banks attempt to change their quantitative easing policies, or start charging a negative rate to their member banks on short-term funds. However, until those types of policy changes are more publicly discussed or changed, the name of the game remains the same: don't fight the Fed as long as it continues its market interventions.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

The best of the weekly trades was in the currencies. In the Swiss Franc, the weekly report advised, "Aggressive traders are short and may cover at 1.0950 +/- .0010 and go long there with a stop-loss on a close below 1.0850". The low of the week was 1.0952 and it closed at 1.1028. Initial profits were also taken right near the high of week on long positions in the S&P and Soybeans.

The best trade in the daily report was on Monday, November 25, in the Euro currency, which advised, "Aggressive traders ...may now buy in the new bullish crossover zone (1.3493-1.3506) if offered, with a stop-loss on a close below there". The low was 1.3490 and the close that day was 1.3516. On Friday, the Euro currency was up to 1.3623.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

There are no major geocosmic signatures happening this coming week, following a slew that took place November 24-30 and corresponded to new all-time highs in several of the U.S. equity markets. Mercury will ingress into Sagittarius on Wednesday, December 4, lasting through December 24. Oftentimes this is bullish, for Mercury rules trading and Sagittarius pertains to optimism. Next Saturday, December 7, Mars will begin a very long 7-month journey through Libra, its detriment sign. This is a signature of calls for agreement and consensus by world leaders, but instead usually results in disagreements, disputes, and more finger pointing at others for failure to get anything done. Given that it will make a cardinal grand square to Jupiter, Uranus, and Pluto two times during this passage (December 25, 2013-January 8, 2014, and April 22-23), and a T-square with Uranus and Pluto (June 14-25), this period could be prone to displays of social unrest (protest that could turn violent if not addressed properly by leaders). This would not be bullish for stocks.

Longer Term Thoughts :

"A group representing Germany's small public banks, called Sparkasse, has complained that low interest rates lead to long-term losses for savers that are comparable to expropriation, because they must accept negative real returns on their investments... ECB officials have said repeatedly that they still have several options to further stimulate the economy, if needed, including setting a negative rate on deposits from commercial banks".

Christopher Lawton and Andrea Thomas, "Draghi Takes on Bank Critics", Wall Street Journal, November 22, 2013.

One can only wonder what will happen if the European Central Bank or the Federal Reserve Board attempt to assess their member banks a negative interest rate return for short-term borrowing in order to force them to lend more of their monies to people. I shudder to think what the banks will do in turn to their depositors if that happens. More importantly, what people will then do to their banks. Perhaps they will choose one large bank and organize a boycott of that bank, causing a run on that particular bank to drive home their message that paying banks to hold the public's monies is just unacceptable, let alone that it is destroying the middle class savers of the world. This is yet another possibility within the purview of Uranus square Pluto. If you want a reason why Gold and Silver may take off again, there it is. Would you pay banks interest to hold your money and watch your capital deplete, or convert to metals, if this venture into financial insanity begins ?.

Bottom line : these geocosmic signatures suggest that stock markets could embark upon a sharp decline before May 2014, especially if central banks attempt to change their quantitative easing policies, or start charging a negative rate to their member banks on short-term funds. However, until those types of policy changes are more publicly discussed or changed, the name of the game remains the same: don't fight the Fed as long as it continues its market interventions.

Note : that I will be giving a special interview to Radio Tokyo later this week. They have asked some very important questions regarding today's markets (stocks, metals, currencies, crude oil, grains, politics, etc). I will make a written transcript of my answers available to subscribers of our reports later this week as well. If you are not a subscriber to any of our reports and would like to become one in order to receive this transcript, please visit our website.

To be continued (next week). 

Announcements :

             The Forecast 2014 Book is on schedule to be completed and delivered on December 15, 2013. The Forecast 2014 Book will cover the second Cardinal Climax peak period, which is in effect August 2013 through April 2014. It will discuss the world and national outlook for the economy and politics, the collective psychology, "hot" times during the year to watch, as well as our long-term and yearly outlook for U.S. stock indices, Gold, Silver, Treasuries and interest rates, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. It is available as a print edition or e-book. For a review of last year's forecasts, and/or more information on ordering Forecast 2014, please go to www.mmacycles.com.

             Mark your calendars for December 14. That will be the date when we conduct a webinar (and live speech) on Forecasts 2014. This two-hour presentation will begin at 7:00 PM, EST, and will be telecast worldwide. The cost will be $45.00. It will cover the Cardinal Climax, the Uranus-Pluto square: where we've been, where we are, and where we are going in 2014, as it pertains to global and national politics, economics, and collective psychology. It will also give our outlook for the U.S. stock market, Gold, and Silver for 2014. The announcement will be posted on MMA's website shortly. In the meantime, you may reserve your spot in this webinar by calling Amber at 1-248-626-3034 or email her.

             The first year of MMTA (the Merriman Market Timing Academy) is now completed!!! Course 4 was the course that short-term traders had been waiting for!!! And in about 3-4 weeks, it will be available on DVD or as an LMS on-line video. If you are a short-term trader, and want to know the best times to trade each month based on Sun-Moon signs and lunar phases, then this is the course you will not want to miss! There is nothing like this course taught anywhere else. The title for this course is "Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Trading Cycles", and it covered topics like : the General Flow of Moon Through the Signs and its Correspondence to Price Activity in U.S. Stock Market and Precious Metals; Formal Research Studies that Measure the Correlation of Solar-Lunar Combinations to Short-Term Trading Reversals in Financial Markets (Tops and Bottoms) ; Important Sun-Moon Correlations for U.S. Stocks ; Important Sun-Moon Correlations for Silver; Understanding the Trade Set Up for Optimal Use of Solar-Lunar Reversals; Enhancing timing using intraday charts (60-, 30- and 5-minute charts) ; and much more. The cost of this course is $2750.00, plus postage if ordering DVD, or no postage if uploading from our website. The course includes the Course 4 workbook, which is worth the price of the course itself. Short-term trading, as discussed in this course, pertains to positions lasting as short as a few hours (one day) to as long as three weeks.
For information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com or www.merrimanmta.com, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             Course 3 of MMA's Market Timing Academy took place August 10-12, 2013, at the Management Education Center (MEC) in Troy, Michigan. The title of this course is "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles. " It defined trading cycles - their length and patterns - and show which geocosmic signatures coincide with primary, half-primary, major, and shorter-term trading cycles in several financial markets, i.e. gold, silver, stock indices, currencies, grains. It discussed the historical correlation of Mars in Scorpio and heliocentric Mercury on Sagittarius to sharp swings in gold and silver, and how to trade them. The DVD and LMS of this course will be available around mid-September. This is a course you will not want to miss! The cost is $2750 for each.
For information and registration, please go to here or there, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             Course 2 of MMTA, titled".Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles in Financial Market". has been completed!!! The raw footage of this course is now available, and the DVD will be available in six weeks. This course examined the correlation of Pluto, Neptune, Uranus, Saturn, and the Moon's North Node to long-term trends and their cycle troughs and crests in many financial markets, including stock indices and precious metals, going back over 200 years. Special attention was be given to the Uranus-Pluto and Saturn-Neptune cycles in various financial and commodity markets, plus the transit of Jupiter through the signs of the zodiac and its correlation to long- and intermediate-term stock market and Silver cycles. The cost of this raw footage or DVD is $2750. For information and/or registration, please go to here or there, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             If you are interested in a review of Course 1 of MMTA that took place April 6-8, please visit here. Or go to the www.mmacycles.com website and scroll down the first page. Henry Canciglia has an extensive background in the U.S. political and intelligence community. He is a graduate of the U.S. Military Academy, West Point. Henry is one of the 15 apprentices for the two-year MMTA course.

             Next year's second year of MMTA courses will begin in March 2014. Please visit www.merrimanmta.com for more information, and research papers on market timing findings conducted by apprentices, which are posted as they are received. Many of these are extremely well done and valuable.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             December 14, 2013, 7:00 PM, EST : Forecast 2014 speech to the world!!! This will be presented live in Troy, MI and telecasted as a webinar as well. Two-hours, focusing on the Cardinal Climax, the Uranus-Pluto waxing square, world and national politics, as well as Gold, Silver, and the USA stock market. Not to be missed, as 2014 may the most important year of all the seven years of the Cardinal Climax (2008-2015)! Cost is $45.00, and registration ends December 12. Limited seating for those who wish to attend in person. Call 1-248-626-3034 Michigan.

            January 17, 2014 : Zurich, Switzerland. "Lessons from the Uranus/Pluto-Square and Second Peak of the Cardinal Climax April 2014". This will part of a congress on Forecasts 2014.

             January 18, 2014 : Zurich, Switzerland : sponsored by AstroData. A special 5-hour workshop on "The Current Cyclical State of Financial Markets : Where Do We Go from Here ? " 1:00 PM - 6:00 PM. Location will be the Congress House in Zurich. Sponsored by AstroData and MMA-Europe.
For further information, please go to there, or contact ASTRODATA AG, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email. This will be special, and a great opportunity to meet some very impressive market timers who will be present. Register now as seating is limited !.

             March 24-27, 2014 : Scottsdale, AZ or Troy, MI. MMTA Course 5: "Price Targets and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets". Special Guest contributor will be Noboru Takesaka.

             June 2-5, 2014 : MMTA Course 6 : "Advanced Support-Resistance Calculations for Trading".

             August 25-28, 2014 : MMTA Course 7 : "Combining Technical Studies, Cycles, and Critical Reversal Dates for Traders".

             September 25-28, 2014 : The ISAR International Astrology Conference, Phoenix, AZ. This will be the "big one" next year with dozens of well-known international astrologers present ! Mark your calendars and plan to attend it. Information will soon be available at www.iasastrology.com.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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