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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
December 23 - 2013
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Please note : The Forecast 2014 Book is out. The archive of the Forecast 2014 speech is available for viewing on line until January 14. A DVD and/or CD of the same speech will be available in the first week of January. It will also be available via download of a streaming video (no postage). The speech went extremely well. For more information on ordering these products.

There will be no weekly column next week due to holidays. The next weekly column will be issued January 3 for the week of January 6. On behalf of all of us at MMA, may you have a happy holiday season and a prosperous and joyful New Year.

The Market Week in Review :

Equities markets of the world struggled late the prior week and into early this past week. And then the Federal Reserve Board made the announcement that nearly everyone wanted : they would start to "taper", wind down their monthly security purchases from $85 billion to $75 billion. It wasn't much, but it was a start. Stock prices zoomed higher - to new all-time highs in the USA - and precious metals fell hard. The Dollar soared and other currencies fell.

The Fed's welcomed move followed the very modest bipartisan budget agreement on Capitol Hill the prior week as Jupiter completed a favorable and harmonious trine to Saturn (December 12), another very welcomed development in this holiday season. With all this good news erupting, a Financial Astrologer couldn't be more pleased to see it all dovetailed so well with the sign of Sagittarius, the "Santa Clause" of the zodiac. However, next week we shift into Capricorn, a more sober time when people generally return gifts they can't use, or make plans for the future that they can benefit from.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

The best of the weekly trades was in the Silver ETF, known as SLV, which advised traders to ". sell short at 19.60 +/- .05, with a stop-loss on a close above 20.20". The high was 19.67 and the close this past week was 18.62. At the same time, The Weekly Swiss Franc advised both position and aggressive traders the week before to . sell short again in SFH if SFZ makes a new high (above 1.1253) and Euro cannot make a new high, with a stop-loss on a close above 1.1350". That happened and the Swiss Franc fell to a low of 1.1118 intraday on Friday, December 20. Last week, in March S&P, both position and aggressive traders were advised , "You may buy back if prices fall into weekly support (1748.75-1754.25) and then close back above, with a stop-loss below the low of the move". The low of the week was 1754, and it closed near its all-time high of 1817.75 on Friday. The weekly report remains short Gold and Euro, and long in Crude Oil coming into next week, which is a big reversal zone for us.

The best trades in the daily report were in the precious metals markets. Monday's report (Dec 16) advised Gold traders "Aggressive traders are flat and may sell short in daily resistance (1244.30-1247.30) with a stop-loss on a close above 1253 or 1268, depending on your risk allowance. The high was 1251.70. These positions were then exited below 1228 the next day ahead of the Fed announcement. The same day, GLD traders were advised, "Traders are flat and may sell short at 120 with a stop-loss on a close above 121.50". The high was 120.77 and GLD closed the week at 115.94 after falling under 115 the prior day. Silver traders on same day (Dec 16) were advised, "Aggressive traders are flat and can either sell short in resistance with a stop-loss on a close above 2030, or go long at 1906-1914 with a stop-loss on a close below 1889". The high was 2029. On Thursday, Dec 19, Silver traders were advised , "Aggressive traders are short with a stop-loss on a close above 2030. Cover 1/2 on a drop to 1920 +/- 10". The low was 1910, so that was an excellent profit on half the short positions.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

This holiday season is not lacking for some rather exciting celestial fireworks. It's an appropriate way to end the Sun's transit through the expansive and optimistic sign of Sagittarius, and now prepare for its journey through the winter solstice and into a month of Capricorn. The festivals will soon end, and the serious business of devising constructive and realistic plans for the New Year will begin.

First on the cosmic agenda is Venus turning retrograde, December 21 through January 31. Every 8 years Venus turns retrograde and direct in nearly the same point in the zodiac. In these 8 years, they do this dance (go retrograde) five times, forming a nearly perfect pentagram when the points in the zodiac of their retrograde or direct motions are connected. It is one of the universe's deeply rooted mysteries that have inspired astrologers for centuries. Why Venus ? Why the pentagram ? As astrologers, we possess a lot of "hidden" knowledge. As philosophers and metaphysicians, we also possess a lot of theories. As Financial Astrologers, we also possess a lot of experience that demonstrates that these turns have close to an 80% correlation to the end of primary cycle trends in equity prices within two weeks, and oftentimes, right on the date, such as March 6, 2009, and October 10, 2002. The one Venus retrograde that has perhaps the least correlation, however, is the 8-year one that forms now. Its correlation to a primary cycle is still a somewhat high of 50%.

What Venus retrograde does correspond to - and what it corresponded to last week - is a change in policy of central banks, like the Federal Reserve Board, which just announced it will start its tapering process. Will that coincide with a reversal from the all-time high ? I don't know. However, there is a seasonal trend, reported in a recent Wall Street Journal article, which postulates that stocks go up more frequently from December 23 through January 3 than at any other time of the year. January 3 would still be within the two week time window for a reversal from a primary cycle crest related to Venus retrograde.

There are several other geocosmic factors in effect right now that can correlate with market reversals and large price swings. Heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius now, December 15-26. This coincides with large price swings in many financial markets, like stocks and metals. Both did have large price swings last week. Stocks went from being down early in the week to ending sharply up at new all-time highs. Precious metals went the opposite way.

On December 25, Mars will be in opposition to Uranus, forming a grand square to Pluto and Jupiter lasting through January 8. The Sun will conjunct Pluto on December 30, with both making a T-square with Uranus and Jupiter through January 5. If you add Mars into the mix, it is a grand square. These are big aspects. Thus, we would normally expect big price swings, especially with Mars, Jupiter, and Uranus involved. They are the volatility, big price-swing, planets. The only issue is that this is a holiday season. Will there be enough volume to move the markets ? I wouldn't assume they will be seasonally quiet in this case. And if they do erupt and turn down, these are also considered "panic" and/or "hysteria" signatures. These are signatures that are not well-behaved. They can be exciting and innovative. But they can also be disruptive and even violent, so think deeply before taking risks over the next two weeks.

Longer Term Thoughts :

"I predict future happiness for Americans if they can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people under the pretense of taking care of them".

-Thomas Jefferson (quote from a newsletter received a while back).

Fasten your seat belts and prepare for anything. The next five months is arguably the most bizarre, strange, surprising, and possibly frustrating period of the entire Cardinal Climax, those "Seven Years of Tribulation which began in January 2008 and lasts until March 2015.

The last 33 months (June 24, 2012 through March 17, 2015) involve the powerful Uranus-Pluto waxing square, the longest-lasting major aspect of our life time, containing seven passages. As discussed in great detail in the Forecast 2014 Book and webinar, this is the part of the Cardinal Climax that involves the revelations of the cover-ups that took place in the first half of this remarkable celestial event.

The most dramatic demonstrations of these revelations is taking place right now, while Jupiter makes a cardinal T-square to the Uranus-Pluto square, August 2013 through April 2014. In the study of Financial Astrology, the Jupiter-Uranus-Pluto T-square has a historical correlation to economic crisis and severe stock market declines. Will it do so again this time ? Maybe not, because the Federal Reserve Board is still heavily involved in buying securities (market intervention), even though they announced they would taper slightly now, from $85 billion/month to $75 billion. That's still enough to support the market.

What may not support the equity markets, however, is if investor attention shifts from monetary and fiscal policies to political upheaval and social chaos. This is where mass frustration may boil over, starting at any time now through May 20 as first Venus, then Mercury, and finally Mars, go consecutively retrograde. Venus begin the cosmic parade of first marching forward, and then turning around and marching backwards, on December 21. Markets could do the same, perhaps caused by the escalating problems surrounding the launch of Obama Care, which is oftentimes ironically (and inaccurately) referred to as the Affordable Care Act. Tens of millions of people could lose their current health instance by January 10 (they just extended it from January 1). These retrogrades, within the umbrella of the Jupiter-Uranus-Pluto T-square, indicate sudden and possibly illegal decisions to alter the ACA. The stated intention in altering the act is for the government to help people in need. True enough, people need help now with this law that seems to become more lawless every week. But once an act becomes legal, it takes more than one person to affect a change to it. The result of constantly changing the act without congressional approval is to confuse people even more, and that in turn can lead to a sudden escalation of mass frustration in the USA.

Still, within the context of the greater Cardinal Climax (2008-2015), we are nearing its end. It is simply amazing, in my humble opinion, that Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve Board, along with other central banks of the world, have been able to steer the economy away from a Great Depression through their clever engineering of monetary policy over the past six years. Yes, the middle class - savings class - has been devastated. But it would have been worse had they not "put the pedal to the metal" in terms of their dramatic monetary easing policies.

In this holiday season, we can look back and be thankful, I think, for what they accomplished. They prevented a serious economic depression. Now, if they can only get the support of the political class and enact sound fiscal policies that would lead to truly sustainable growth over the long run, we could take the gratitude beyond just this holiday season. We could feel confident about the future, not just for ourselves, but our children as well. Right now, as we enter 2014, I don't think the future looks bright at all for our children, not until we really start cutting this monster world debt. Cutting the rate of debt is a start. But we still need to cut back the total debt as it just keeps climbing higher and higher -a reflection of Uranus square Pluto.

To be continued (next year). 

Announcements :

             The Forecast 2014 Book is out! If you ordered it and have not received it by Friday, December 20, please call us at once! The Forecast 2014 Book covers the second Cardinal Climax peak period, which is in effect August 2013 through April 2014. It discusses the world and national outlook for the economy and politics, the collective psychology, "hot" times during the year to watch, as well as our long-term and yearly outlook for U.S. stock indices, Gold, Silver, Treasuries and interest rates, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. It is available as a print edition or e-book. To order Forecast 2014, please go to www.mmacycles.com, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             On December 14 we conducted a webinar (and live speech) on Forecasts 2014. This two-hour presentation will be available on DVD, CD (audio) or via live streaming download on our website around the first week of January. The cost will be $45.00. It will cover the Cardinal Climax, the Uranus-Pluto square: where we've been, where we are, and where we are going in 2014, as it pertains to global and national politics, economics, and collective psychology. It will also give our outlook for the U.S. stock market, and Gold, plus answers to questions about Silver, Crude Oil, and currencies. The announcement and online ordering info will be posted on MMA's website. In the meantime, you may reserve your copy of this webinar by calling Amber at 1-248-626-3034 or email her. The raw footage viewing of this event is available now through January 11. You may view that too when ordering your CD or DVD or live streaming copy.

             The first year of MMTA (the Merriman Market Timing Academy) is now completed!!! Course 4 was the course that short-term traders had been waiting for!!! And in about 3-4 weeks, it will be available on DVD or as an LMS on-line video. If you are a short-term trader, and want to know the best times to trade each month based on Sun-Moon signs and lunar phases, then this is the course you will not want to miss! There is nothing like this course taught anywhere else. The title for this course is "Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Trading Cycles", and it covered topics like : the General Flow of Moon Through the Signs and its Correspondence to Price Activity in U.S. Stock Market and Precious Metals; Formal Research Studies that Measure the Correlation of Solar-Lunar Combinations to Short-Term Trading Reversals in Financial Markets (Tops and Bottoms) ; Important Sun-Moon Correlations for U.S. Stocks ; Important Sun-Moon Correlations for Silver; Understanding the Trade Set Up for Optimal Use of Solar-Lunar Reversals; Enhancing timing using intraday charts (60-, 30- and 5-minute charts) ; and much more. The cost of this course is $2750.00, plus postage if ordering DVD, or no postage if uploading from our website. The course includes the Course 4 workbook, which is worth the price of the course itself. Short-term trading, as discussed in this course, pertains to positions lasting as short as a few hours (one day) to as long as three weeks.
For information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com or www.merrimanmta.com, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             Course 3 of MMA's Market Timing Academy took place August 10-12, 2013, at the Management Education Center (MEC) in Troy, Michigan. The title of this course is "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles. " It defined trading cycles - their length and patterns - and show which geocosmic signatures coincide with primary, half-primary, major, and shorter-term trading cycles in several financial markets, i.e. gold, silver, stock indices, currencies, grains. It discussed the historical correlation of Mars in Scorpio and heliocentric Mercury on Sagittarius to sharp swings in gold and silver, and how to trade them. The DVD and LMS of this course will be available around mid-September. This is a course you will not want to miss! The cost is $2750 for each.
For information and registration, please go to here or there, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             Course 2 of MMTA, titled".Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles in Financial Market". has been completed!!! The raw footage of this course is now available, and the DVD will be available in six weeks. This course examined the correlation of Pluto, Neptune, Uranus, Saturn, and the Moon's North Node to long-term trends and their cycle troughs and crests in many financial markets, including stock indices and precious metals, going back over 200 years. Special attention was be given to the Uranus-Pluto and Saturn-Neptune cycles in various financial and commodity markets, plus the transit of Jupiter through the signs of the zodiac and its correlation to long- and intermediate-term stock market and Silver cycles. The cost of this raw footage or DVD is $2750. For information and/or registration, please go to here or there, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

             If you are interested in a review of Course 1 of MMTA that took place April 6-8, please visit here. Or go to the www.mmacycles.com website and scroll down the first page. Henry Canciglia has an extensive background in the U.S. political and intelligence community. He is a graduate of the U.S. Military Academy, West Point. Henry is one of the 15 apprentices for the two-year MMTA course.

             Next year's second year of MMTA courses will begin in March 2014. Please visit www.merrimanmta.com for more information, and research papers on market timing findings conducted by apprentices, which are posted as they are received. Many of these are extremely well done and valuable.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

            January 17, 2014 : Zurich, Switzerland. "Lessons from the Uranus/Pluto-Square and Second Peak of the Cardinal Climax April 2014". This will part of a congress on Forecasts 2014.

             January 18, 2014 : Zurich, Switzerland : sponsored by AstroData. A special 5-hour workshop on "The Current Cyclical State of Financial Markets : Where Do We Go from Here ? " 1:00 PM - 6:00 PM. Location will be the Congress House in Zurich. Sponsored by AstroData and MMA-Europe.
For further information, please go to there, or contact ASTRODATA AG, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email. This will be special, and a great opportunity to meet some very impressive market timers who will be present. Register now as seating is limited !.

             March 24-27, 2014 : Scottsdale, AZ or Troy, MI. MMTA Course 5: "Price Targets and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets". Special Guest contributor will be Noboru Takesaka.

             June 2-5, 2014 : MMTA Course 6 : "Advanced Support-Resistance Calculations for Trading".

             August 25-28, 2014 : MMTA Course 7 : "Combining Technical Studies, Cycles, and Critical Reversal Dates for Traders".

             September 25-28, 2014 : The ISAR International Astrology Conference, Phoenix, AZ. This will be the "big one" next year with dozens of well-known international astrologers present ! Mark your calendars and plan to attend it. Information will soon be available at www.iasastrology.com.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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