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MMA Weekly Comments and Recommendations on Financial Markets,
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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
February 3 - 2014
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Russian
Spanish Italiano
Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Please note : The Forecast 2014 Book is out. The archive of the Forecast 2014 speech is available for viewing on line until January 14. A DVD and/or CD of the same speech will be available in the first week of January. It will also be available via download of a streaming video (no postage). The speech went extremely well. For more information on ordering these products.
The Market Week in Review :
Is this the start of "The Big One" ? More and more market analysts are beginning to think that a major decline in world stock markets is now underway. But isn't that the way it usually is when markets make a high when Venus or Mars turn retrograde, and then tumble into the time when they go direct ? After six weeks of Venus retrograde, the last four of which have now coincided with falling equity prices across the globe, investors are getting worried. The financial world doesn't seem as "certain" or "confident" as it was at the start of the New Year. The euphoria of a positive Jupiter is slowly turning to the hysteria of a besieged Jupiter. Jupiter had its second of three oppositions to Pluto at the end of last week (January 31), and it seems like Pluto is manifesting its role as pricking Jupiter's symbol of a bubble.
But it is all happening as we come to the end of the Venus retrograde period, December 21 through January 31.
World equity markets fell again last week, only harder than the previous weeks. In fact, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell to its lowest level since November 8. So far the S&P futures have not fallen below their low of December 16, which was 1754 (it closed at 1776.50 after an intraday low of 1761.25). This could become a case of intermarket bullish divergence, on the day Venus turned direct, in the time band when a primary cycle low is due. That's what Venus ending its retrograde would suggest. However, Jupiter's opposition to Pluto and its forthcoming square to Uranus says that if the stock market continues to fall, it will gather momentum and it will indeed become "The Big One". How big ? Try 20-50%, which is the norm for 4-year and 6-year cycles. The 4-year "Presidential Post Election Year" cycle low is due March-December 2014, and the six-year stock market cycle is due anytime in 2014 through 2016. They overlap in 2014. We keep readers up to date on these matters via our monthly and weekly subscription reports.
For this column, let's just say that right now, stocks are at a very critical juncture. And investors are rightfully nervous. "Should I sell or should I buy"?.
Gold and Silver also had an interesting week. On Tuesday, January 27, Gold rallied to 1280, its highest level since mid-November. Then, as both the Sun and Moon entered Aquarius on January 30, Gold dropped suddenly back below 1240, just as expected from our studies (and reports) on precious metals. Even as Gold rallied before the tumble, Silver was already falling. By Thursday, January 30, Silver was trading below 1900, not far from its low of December 31 at 1872. Gold at the time was well above its December 31 low of 1181. Maybe we will get a case of intermarket bullish divergence here too, shortly.
It's Venus ending its retrograde motion. And counter-trend moves may be ready to end. But it is also Jupiter in opposition to Pluto, moving towards a square to Uranus in this new month. Maybe these counter-trend moves are ready to break down and out. With Uranus, you never know where the bottom is. It can feel like falling into an abyss, especially with the dark side of Pluto involved. And the dark side of Pluto was very much present - in mundane matters - last week too (see Longer-Term thoughts).
Best Trades of the Past Week :
The best of the weekly trades was in stock indices. For example, the weekly advice for the DJIA was, " Position traders are now short with a stop-loss on a close above 16,307. Cover 1/3 of these shorts now. Look to cover and reverse to the long side in weekly support (15,558-15,665), with a stop-loss on a close below xxx (not going to reveal our stop-loss in this column)... Aggressive traders are also short with a stop-loss on a close above 16,300... Let's cover all and reverse to the long side on a drop to weekly support, with a stop-loss on a close below xxx". The low of the week was 15,617, right in weekly support, for great profits on the shorts, and the establishment of new longs near the lows of the week. The DJIA closed at 15,698, so let's see if it can find support here this week and rally.
The best of the daily trades was in Gold and stocks. The stock indices' trades were the same as the weekly (cover shorts and go long in weekly support). In Gold, Wednesday's daily report advised, "Aggressive traders are still long after taking profits on 2/3 (around 1270 the day before). Let's still sell the final third at 1262.00 or higher and go short there with a stop-loss on a close above 1279.80". The high of Wednesday was 1270.60, and by Thursday it was trading below 1240.
For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
Short-Term Geocosmics :
As if investors and politicians haven't suffered enough under Venus retrograde, now comes another cosmic irritant : Mercury retrograde. I mean, if the cosmos was a Rodney Dangerfield imitation, you would think humanity gets no respect. First Venus retrograde (December 21 through January 31, then Mercury retrograde (February 6-28), then Mars retrograde (March 1-May 20). It's like trying to herd a group of turtles. Nothing gets done. And that which was promised is dropped, or in need of an executive decree - and even that will likely be changed. If the motto of government is "forward", this period will, actually feel more like "reverse and go backwards".
Well, retrogrades are not always "bad", as all "good" astrologers know. You just need to adapt to new rules and let go of expectations and common sense, because the normal rules don't work, expectations fail to be realized and thus need to be changed, and common sense plays second fiddle to intuition, which is not always... sensible. Financial markets exhibit these characteristics too under Mercury retrograde. That is, the normal buy and sell signals fail, support and resistance zones fail - but only briefly. This is a climate of "fake outs" and "whipsaws", so our motto is : take profits too soon. Don't sit around and wait for your price targets to be met because every 1-4 days, the momentum stalls for about 20 minutes, and then reverses for the next 1-4 days. However, do pay special attention to the middle of Mercury retrograde (February 17), because any market that didn't reverse around the retrograde date is vulnerable to reverse then - at least for a few days (more than 1-4 days). You see, when applying principles of Financial Astrology to markets, you really need to understand the qualitative nature of the study, not just the quantitative results of formal studies. Markets behave differently under retrogrades of Venus, Mercury, and Mars, just like humans do. And why not ? Astrology in its purest sense is the correlation of geocosmic cycles to cycles in human activity.
Longer-Term Thoughts :
"Last year's most remarkable polling number from Gallup said in December that 72% of Americans regard big government as the greatest threat to the U.S.... In frustration... the White House is defaulting... to direct executive action. We are at the dawn of the Unilateral Presidency". - Daniel Henninger, "Obama's State of Disunion", Wall Street Journal, January 30, 2014.
Ok. Lets' delve into the dark side of Pluto. Let's revisit this incredible Uranus square Pluto aspect, in effect June 2012-March 2015. As discussed in our Forecast 2014 Book, this signature is manifesting in several disturbing (and dark) ways, one of which is the spying of government on its citizens and the brazen grabbing of power away from citizens and into the hands of government leaders all across the globe. These violations of privacy, in the name of national security, have been going on since the Cardinal Climax began in 2008 (and even before). A series of "cover ups" and "spying on its citizens" have come to light in the USA since 2012 when Uranus began its three-year square with Pluto. We are in the middle of this aspect now, so we can expect more of the same plus revelations of these cover ups and secret activities.
Pluto in Capricorn symbolizes (among other things) government cover ups, spying on its citizens, and power grabs. Uranus in Aries symbolizes the revelations of these activities and the outrage of those who are affected, who have Uranus (Aquarian) values, such as freedom and independence. The square aspect symbolizes the frustration of both parties (civilians and government leaders), which can suddenly become very explosive if not dealt with carefully. From a geocosmic point of view, these are very dangerous times. They are especially dangerous now because Jupiter has entered into a cardinal T-square with the Uranus-Pluto square, August 2013 through April 2014. Furthermore, these times are most dangerous to the stability of the United States, which finds it's natal Sun square Saturn falling into these same cardinal degrees as the Jupiter-Uranus-Pluto T-square. Social unrest and political upheaval are the new folks trying to gain admittance to this neighborhood. But the current residents don't want them in. So they take the law into their own hands. Or make new rules - change the tactics - to keep them out.
Last week, the revelations of spying by federal agencies on USA citizens created another jolting realization of how the game (of life) is changing. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), which was created in the wake of the financial and banking meltdown of 2008 in order to protect consumers, was doing anything but protecting the security of the good folks of neighborhood USA. It was found to be "... conducting a massive NSA-esque data-mining project collecting information on an estimated 991 million American credit card accounts. It was also learned at a Congressional hearing Tuesday (January 28) that CFPB officials are working with the Federal Housing Finance Agency on a second data-mining effort... focused on 53 million residential mortgages taken out by Americans since 1996". www.WND.com, with related stories by "The Economist", and "USA Today".
So what is going on, and why does this matter to us ? Well, as Mundane and Financial Astrologers, it is clearly a manifestation of the principles signified by our beloved study. To the USA chart, it shows a powerful transformation of the foundations upon which the USA was birthed. In typical Plutonian fashion in aspect to a country's natal Sun and Saturn, those foundations are subtly being torn down. The positive implication of this signature is "reform for the better". This is accomplished by shared values of what must be transformed and even terminated, and then the consensus to rebuild it together - as a community. The less-than-positive symbolism is to destroy and terminate existing structures via an exhibition of power and coercion over others without their consent, and usually by oppressive measures or changing the rules of the articles. In the first case, it is a win-win proposition. In the second case, it is a proposition that results in a winner and a loser ("elections have consequences"). That's the nature and behavior of Pluto when it appears in a hard aspect to one's chart : you either find common ground of shared values (seeking to restore something of value for everyone involved - all the neighbors), or you don't even try to find common ground, opting instead to simply force the issue to the advantage of the one who grabs the power. Whoever has the power, wins. The loser goes home - wherever that becomes - or becomes a refugee.
So... who has the power ? The people, or some (but not all) branches of government and its agencies ? The American people get it - they now see the problem and the threat by a majority of 72%, according the Gallop poll. But what can they do, or will they do ? According to geocosmic studies, we could see the answer to that predicament by the end of May. But you know what ? It is not only a challenge for people in America. It's global. But America is highlighted because it hits the USA chart dead on.
Or does all of this fall into the category of "conspiracy theories" ? That dynamic can also be heightened under the "dark side of Pluto". We need some light on this planet - as in "enlightenment". Fortunately, that comes under the domain of Uranus, and he too is alive and active these days, trying to figure out how to do this rumba dance with Pluto.
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
The Forecast 2014 Book is out! If you ordered it and have not received it by Friday, December 20, please call us at once! The Forecast 2014 Book covers the second Cardinal Climax peak period, which is in effect August 2013 through April 2014. It discusses the world and national outlook for the economy and politics, the collective psychology, "hot" times during the year to watch, as well as our long-term and yearly outlook for U.S. stock indices, Gold, Silver, Treasuries and interest rates, Currencies, Crude Oil, Weather, and Grain markets. It is available as a print edition or e-book. To order Forecast 2014, please go to www.mmacycles.com, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.
On December 14 we conducted a webinar (and live speech) on Forecasts 2014. This two-hour presentation will be available on DVD, CD (audio) or via live streaming download on our website around the first week of January. The cost will be $45.00. It will cover the Cardinal Climax, the Uranus-Pluto square: where we've been, where we are, and where we are going in 2014, as it pertains to global and national politics, economics, and collective psychology. It will also give our outlook for the U.S. stock market, and Gold, plus answers to questions about Silver, Crude Oil, and currencies. The announcement and online ordering info will be posted on MMA's website. In the meantime, you may reserve your copy of this webinar by calling Amber at 1-248-626-3034 or email her. The raw footage viewing of this event is available now through January 11. You may view that too when ordering your CD or DVD or live streaming copy.
The first year of MMTA (the Merriman Market Timing Academy) is now completed!!! Course 4 was the course that short-term traders had been waiting for!!! And in about 3-4 weeks, it will be available on DVD or as an LMS on-line video. If you are a short-term trader, and want to know the best times to trade each month based on Sun-Moon signs and lunar phases, then this is the course you will not want to miss! There is nothing like this course taught anywhere else. The title for this course is "Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Trading Cycles", and it covered topics like : the General Flow of Moon Through the Signs and its Correspondence to Price Activity in U.S. Stock Market and Precious Metals; Formal Research Studies that Measure the Correlation of Solar-Lunar Combinations to Short-Term Trading Reversals in Financial Markets (Tops and Bottoms) ; Important Sun-Moon Correlations for U.S. Stocks ; Important Sun-Moon Correlations for Silver; Understanding the Trade Set Up for Optimal Use of Solar-Lunar Reversals; Enhancing timing using intraday charts (60-, 30- and 5-minute charts) ; and much more. The cost of this course is $2750.00, plus postage if ordering DVD, or no postage if uploading from our website. The course includes the Course 4 workbook, which is worth the price of the course itself. Short-term trading, as discussed in this course, pertains to positions lasting as short as a few hours (one day) to as long as three weeks.
For information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com or www.merrimanmta.com, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.
Course 3 of MMA's Market Timing Academy took place August 10-12, 2013, at the Management Education Center (MEC) in Troy, Michigan. The title of this course is "Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles. " It defined trading cycles - their length and patterns - and show which geocosmic signatures coincide with primary, half-primary, major, and shorter-term trading cycles in several financial markets, i.e. gold, silver, stock indices, currencies, grains. It discussed the historical correlation of Mars in Scorpio and heliocentric Mercury on Sagittarius to sharp swings in gold and silver, and how to trade them.
The DVD and LMS of this course will be available around mid-September. This is a course you will not want to miss! The cost is $2750 for each.
For information and registration, please go to here or there, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.
Course 2 of MMTA, titled".Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles in Financial Market". has been completed!!! The raw footage of this course is now available, and the DVD will be available in six weeks. This course examined the correlation of Pluto, Neptune, Uranus, Saturn, and the Moon's North Node to long-term trends and their cycle troughs and crests in many financial markets, including stock indices and precious metals, going back over 200 years. Special attention was be given to the Uranus-Pluto and Saturn-Neptune cycles in various financial and commodity markets, plus the transit of Jupiter through the signs of the zodiac and its correlation to long- and intermediate-term stock market and Silver cycles. The cost of this raw footage or DVD is $2750. For information and/or registration, please go to here or there, or call us at 1-248-626-3034.
If you are interested in a review of Course 1 of MMTA that took place April 6-8, please visit here. Or go to the www.mmacycles.com website and scroll down the first page. Henry Canciglia has an extensive background in the U.S. political and intelligence community. He is a graduate of the U.S. Military Academy, West Point. Henry is one of the 15 apprentices for the two-year MMTA course.
Next year's second year of MMTA courses will begin in March 2014. Please visit www.merrimanmta.com for more information, and research papers on market timing findings conducted by apprentices, which are posted as they are received. Many of these are extremely well done and valuable.
Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports
went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.
Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
March 24-27, 2014 : Scottsdale, AZ or Troy, MI. MMTA Course 5: "Price Targets and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets". Special Guest contributor will be Noboru Takesaka.
June 2-5, 2014 : MMTA Course 6 : "Advanced Support-Resistance Calculations for Trading".
August 25-28, 2014 : MMTA Course 7 : "Combining Technical Studies, Cycles, and Critical Reversal Dates for Traders".
September 25-28, 2014 : The ISAR International Astrology Conference, Phoenix, AZ. This will be the "big one" next year with dozens of well-known international astrologers present ! Mark your calendars and plan to attend it. Information will soon be available at www.iasastrology.com.
The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.
We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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