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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
February 24 - 2014
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Please note : The Forecast 2014 Book is out. The archive of the Forecast 2014 speech is available for viewing on line until January 14. A DVD and/or CD of the same speech will be available in the first week of January. It will also be available via download of a streaming video (no postage). The speech went extremely well. For more information on ordering these products.

The Market Week in Review :

It is the middle of Mercury retrograde (February 6-28), and typical of this stage of that planet's retrograde cycle, most financial markets were stuck in congestion. Nothing explosive happened anywhere last week, although Silver and Gold showed promise of being ready to break out further to the upside. At that same time, Silver also displayed a dangerous technical condition that could lead to a sharp reversal in the next 1-2 weeks if it doesn't break out first. With Mars about to begin its 12-week retrograde motion on March 1, that technical reversal possibility cannot be ignored. For that matter, the possibility of serious reversals in stocks cannot be ignored either, for not only is Mars turning retrograde, but so is Saturn one day later, on March 2. As if that is not enough, Mercury and Jupiter are about to end their retrograde motions and turn direct, February 28 and March 6 respectively. Given all these planetary reversals of direction in such a short amount of time, there will likely be a surge in need for Chiropractic services. This period is apt to coincide with a sense of whiplash as prices whipsaw from up to down and back again, or vice-versa. And there is more beyond that (see section on Short-Term geocosmics).

Best Trades of the Past Week :

With Mercury retrograde, there were no new weekly positions initiated last week. Profits were taken on 1/3 of longs in all stock indices and shorts in Treasuries, but the weekly program remains long in all stock indices, Gold, Silver and Soybeans, and short in Treasuries.

It was pretty much the same thing in the daily reports of last week, which took profits on longs in stocks, and partial profits on longs in metals as well. The only new positions that were initiated last week were in stocks, such as in the DJIA, which on Thursday advised, "Aggressive traders are long and may now cover at 16,100 +/- 10 if offered, and go short there with a stop-loss on a close above 16,225". So we got a decent profit on the longs initiated from the lows of the prior week, and got short, but it is too early to tell if it will work out, as the DJIA closed within the range that we entered.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

Mercury ends its retrograde period at the end of this week, on February 28. However, before you schedule a party to celebrate the trickster's return to normalcy, consider that the next day Mars will start its retrograde motion, (March 1-May 20). And the day after that (March 2), Saturn turns retrograde. But wait ! On March 6, Jupiter ends its retrograde motion too! That's four planets changing direction in one week ! Holy cow - that's a lot of changes of direction. And since we believe that "As above, so below", we can anticipate a lot of changes of directions taking place in a wide variety of human activities - like banking and politics.

You can add financial markets to the list of human activities that are likely to exhibit major reversals in the next two weeks. However, the reason for that may have more to do with a major planetary aspect taking place this Wednesday, February 26, known as the Jupiter-Uranus waxing square. As discussed at length in our studies reported in "The Ultimate book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Reversals", this is one of the strongest geocosmic signatures that we have found historically correlating with primary or greater cycles in U.S. stocks, given an orb of 12 trading days. Its correlation is 70%.

Do you think that is enough to be a concern with the 4 planetary stations also taking place nearby ? Maybe. But there is more ! Jupiter, god of abundance and excess, must be rolling over in the skies, for this is certainly a time of more - and even more - because on Sunday, February 23, the Sun will conjunct Neptune in Pisces, the sign that is ruled by both Neptune and Jupiter. But more to the point, the Sun-Neptune conjunction has a whopping 79% historical correlation to primary cycles in stocks within an orb of 14 trading days. Thus, in addition to all of these reversals in policies (as denoted by all the planetary changes in direction), and the potential violent reaction to these policy changes shown by Jupiter square Uranus, we have to furthermore deal with the confusion. Yes, confusion and uncertainty - the calling card of Neptune and Pisces ! And you know what markets think of confusion and uncertainty. They say you should sell rumors and buy the facts. But sometimes they (who?) say you should buy the rumor and sell the fact, because, well ; they are confused this week too, especially given that all of this is still happening while the trickster Mercury is retrograde. Who are you going to trust ? Certainly no one who speaks with an illusion of authority in his/her position.

How will markets react to all of this cosmic "noise" ?. Well, since Jupiter is stationary and the Sun also trine Jupiter, and the market has been rising, one would think this would be a period of topping action. With Mars and Saturn both turning retrograde next weekend, one would think "euphoria" will suddenly give way to "on-no-phoria". Mars and Saturn are tense. They are the classical indicators of frustration and stress. When frustration and stress get to be too much - and with all that Jupiter, everything may become just "too much" - there is danger of confrontation, where words are said or actions committed that are later regretted.

Longer-Term Thoughts :

All we want to add here is the reminder that we are still in the midst of the Jupiter-Uranus-Pluto cardinal T-square, August 2013 through April 2014. We are reminded of this because this week is the second passage of the Jupiter-Uranus square part of that T-square. The first passage was August 21, 2013, and at that time, the stock market ended a sharp three-week decline and reversed to the upside.

However, this is all prelude to the cosmic set up in April 2014, when Mars, Jupiter, Pluto, and Uranus are each in 13 degrees of cardinal signs, making an extremely rare cardinal grand square (has it ever happened before ?). The source of this current-day energy is the Uranus-Pluto square, a 33-month monster celestial signature, which is the longest and most challenging aspect of our lifetime. This itself is the first quarter cycle phase of the 112-147-year Uranus-Pluto cycle, which began with its conjunction of 1965-1966. That was when the Dow Jones Industrial Average first hit 1000. It promptly declined 25% within the year. You may also remember that as a time when young people all over the world revolted against "The Establishment". It was a time of revolution, at the very least in a cultural sense, but also politically and economically. The credit card was founded then, and the credit explosion (or, debt explosion) began then as well. Now we deal with the consequences of efforts started back then (about 50years ago).

I have a theory about long-term planetary aspects like Uranus and Pluto that may be of interest to Financial and Mundane Astrologers. It may shed light on what has happened in the past 50 years (since Uranus and Pluto were in conjunction), and what might unfold in the next 30+ years (when Uranus and Pluto are in opposition). It goes like this : when two planets are in conjunction, the more dominant planet is the faster moving one. When they reach opposition, the most dominant is the slower moving planet. At the waxing and waning square, they are about equal in their expression. At the waxing square, they are equal, but the dominance is shifting from the faster moving planet's dynamics to the slower moving planet's dynamics, which then peak at the opposition. At the waning square, they are also equal, but the dominance is shifting to the faster moving planet's principles and areas of rulership.

Applying this theory to the present-day Uranus-Pluto aspect, it would mean that in the mid- 1960's, Uranus was the more dominant expression of Uranus and Pluto in conjunction. It was a revolutionary time, but behind it all, was the future menace of debt creation and power grabbing, or Pluto. Now we see both of these principles (Uranus and Pluto) about equal. However, that balance is about to shift from revolution, invention, and progressivity (Uranus), to powerful efforts to centralize control and authority in the hands of the few (Pluto), and in the process, the debt explosion continues to get worse, not better. Of course, there is always the possibility that Pluto will manifest in a very positive and constructive way, such as in "reform" that empowers the masses, and not just a few individuals who seek power over... everybody and everything.

With Mercury (communication and news), Mars (combative new efforts), and Saturn (authority and government) all changing directions this week, isn't it interesting that the FCC (Federal Communications Commission - an agency of the USA government) wants to launch a new initiative whereby government officials can enter into the newsrooms of the nation, and "monitor" how they gather and disseminate news. This is sure to provide a sense of security and assurance of openness in unbiased reporting by the nation's news organizations. On a larger scale, this may be an example of how Pluto in Capricorn is gaining dominance over Uranus in Aries, a trend that may escalate into the middle of this century, unless the collective reclaims its own power before it is too late.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds).

             Are you ready to begin Year 2 of the Merriman market Timing Academy? We are! The second year of MMTA courses will begin March 24-27, 2014, in Troy, Michigan. This course will focus on several things. First will be the development of a weekly and daily trading plan, based on cycles, geocosmic signatures, and solar-lunar combinations. Real-time strategies will take place every morning. Then we will address longer-term market cycles, longer-term planetary cycles, and calculations of price objective targets for long-term cycle tops and bottoms, along with their patterns and sub-cycles. From there, we will move into intermediate- and shorter-term calculations. For more information, please visit www.merrimanmta.com. There you can also view research papers on market timing findings conducted by apprentices, which are posted as they are reviewed. Some are quite valuable.

             The first year of MMTA (the Merriman Market Timing Academy) is now completed! The courses (all 4 together, or separately) are available via our LMS website-uploadable venue (no postage), or in DVD, to those who wish to become students of MMA's methodology. Each course comes with a full workbook (90-130 pages each). For a complete description of these courses - and those yet to come - please visit www.merrimanmta.com , or call 1-248-626-3034.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
The monthly MMA Cycles Report to be issued this week will have a special analysis on Gold's long-term cycles. You must be a subscriber to receive this report. Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             March 24-27, 2014 : Scottsdale, AZ or Troy, MI. MMTA Course 5: "Price Targets and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets". Special Guest contributor will be Noboru Takesaka.

             April 10, 2014 : Ann Arbor, MI. "Financial Astrology Workshop - Gold, Silver, and the Stock Market", with Raymond Merriman, 1:00 - 6:00 PM. This is a pre-seminar to the GLAC - Great Lakes Astrology Conference, which takes place April 11-13 and features several well-known professional astrologers. For more information, or call 1-734-434-0804.

             June 2-5, 2014 : MMTA Course 6 : "Advanced Support-Resistance Calculations for Trading".

             August 25-28, 2014 : MMTA Course 7 : "Combining Technical Studies, Cycles, and Critical Reversal Dates for Traders".

             September 25-28, 2014 : The ISAR International Astrology Conference, Phoenix, AZ. This will be the "big one" next year with dozens of well-known international astrologers present ! Mark your calendars and plan to attend it. Information will soon be available at www.iasastrology.com.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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