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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 5 - 2014
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 will be translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Please note : The Forecast 2014 Book is out. The archive of the Forecast 2014 speech is available for viewing on line until January 14. A DVD and/or CD of the same speech will be available in the first week of January. It will also be available via download of a streaming video (no postage). The speech went extremely well. For more information on ordering these products.

The Market Week in Review :

I am currently in Europe to attend a funeral this weekend, and therefore this week's report will be short.

The Grand Cardinal Cross is technically over, but the consequences of decisions and activities initiated during that period will be with us for a long time. This is especially true in regards to the geopolitical activity surrounding Ukraine and involving Europe, Russia, and the USA. But it was also a very notable period concerning sensitive racial matters in the USA. On April 22, the U.S. Supreme Court upheld the ban of universities on race-based preferences for college admittance, over academic achievement. And then last week the National Basketball Association (NBA) banned the owner of one its teams (Los Angeles Clippers) for life from attending any NBA games, as well as fined him $2.5 million, for racist comments made in a private conversation, but which were recorded and made public by his former girlfriend.

Both of these issues - the increase of world tensions with the accompanying return to the cold war between Russia and the USA, and the sudden attention on racial issues in the USA - are very symbolic of the Uranus-Pluto waxing square, the heart of the Grand Cardinal Cross. For greater explanation of this 33-month aspect (June 2012 - March 2015) and the issues it would highlight (including the two just mentioned), readers are advised to review the recent MMA Annual Forecasts Books for 2012, 2013, and 2014.

Yet, in spite of the many major developments that have now unfolded leading up this cosmic peak of the Uranus-Pluto square, many of the stock markets of the world continue to rise, and the economies of many nations continue to improve. On Friday, for example, the U.S. Labor department reported an increase of 288,000 new jobs, and a decline in unemployment to 6.3%. Neither the stock market nor the world economy have crashed under the Uranus-Pluto square - as of yet. As a leading indicator, based on the past correlations of Uranus-Pluto hard aspects, this one has yet to behave in these two areas as it had in the past. There is still time, but so far, all the forecasts of doom and gloom in the economy and world stock indices have failed to manifest.

In our studies, we use both leading indicators - like cycle and geocosmic studies - along with coincident and confirming indicators, like technical analysis, price objective studies, and trend analysis models. It is interesting to note that our trend analysis models have remained bullish since October 2011. They never went bearish throughout this period of Uranus square Pluto, so far. It is also interesting to note that our short-term geocosmics signatures have worked extremely well in identifying times of short-term market reversals throughout this period too, as noted by our two market timing awards from www.markettiming.nl . So it is not a matter of the validity of geocosmic studies as a reliable leading market timing indicator, or of a failure of our coincident trend indicator methods. It is a matter of a long-term geocosmic cycle that is operating in a different manner than it has in the past in regards to the stock market and economic cycles - so far. The question is : Will it manifest as it has historically, before the aspect ends in March 2015 ? I would not bet against it. But so far, our trend indicator models are still bullish. When they change, we will let you know. In the meantime, we will continue short-term trading both ways according to any geocosmic critical reversal zones as they arise.

I would like to address one market in detail, however, because of last week's activity. That would be Silver, which broke to a new low for 2014. On Thursday, May 1, the July contract fell to 1868. This was below the 1872 low of the nearby contract on December 31. Gold, on the other hand, remains nearly $100/ounce above its yearly low of about 1180 at the time. Is this to be a case of intermarket bullish divergence ? Perhaps. I plan to write a special report on Silver for the following week's issue of the MMA Cycles Report, due out May 12-13. It will update the status of Silver's greater 18-year cycle, and discuss the current Mars retrograde cycle that ends May 20. This report will be available to subscribers only of MMA Cycles. If you do not subscribe to this report and are interested in my view on Silver's long-term cycle status, please contact us.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

Our best trade of the week in the weekly subscription report was in Crude Oil, which advised: "Aggressive traders (may) now look to sell short at 102.40-102.75 with a stop-loss on a close above weekly resistance (102.78-103.44)". The high was right there at 102.70. It closed the week at 99.76.

Our best trades in the daily reports were in stocks. Wednesday's report for the June S&P e-mini contract stated , "Aggressive traders are short after covering 1/3 of positions for excellent and profits and may now . cover (all) and go long at 1865-1867 with a stop-loss on a close below 1860". The low was right there at 1866.25. It closed the week at 1874.50 after hitting 1886 intraday. We did the same in the June emini NASDAQ (covered shorts for nice profits on Monday and Wednesday, went long near the low of the day on Wednesday, and took some profits before Friday's close, which was still well above the purchase price).

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

The next set of important geocosmic signatures correlating with potential market reversals begins next weekend, May 10. The following three weeks (May 10-31) will find eight major planetary aspects occurring, plus the very important Mars turning stationary direct on May 20.

May 11-18 is notable because Venus will translate all the planets that were involved in the Grand Cardinal Cross of April 20-23. Many of those themes may be revisited then (Ukraine, Russia, racial issues, events of nature). With Venus in Aries (a sign it is not very comfortable with), there may be announcements of agreements that are suddenly alleged to be disagreeable to some parties. The agreements are in danger of breaking down. Venus has a strong correspondence to activity in currencies, sugar, and soybeans, so we may anticipate reversals in those markets during this time.

Longer-Term Thoughts :

I am currently in Europe to attend a funeral this weekend, and therefore this week's report is abreviated.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             We are pleased to announce that very soon, we will be posting our weekly columns in India. MMA-India will be directed by MMTA Apprentice Nitin Bhandari, and will include subscription services to all of our reports, as well as availability of all of our books. We will keep our readers from India informed as progress is made on this new initiative.

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes, "You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             Course 5 of the MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) was a great success ! This course, titled "Trading and Investing Planning: Combining Market Timing Studies and Price Objective Calculations", was held March 24-27, 2014, in Troy, Michigan. This course focused on several topics. The first was the development of a weekly and daily trading plan, based on cycles, geocosmic signatures, and solar-lunar combinations. Real-time strategies took place every morning and at the end of the trading day. Then, longer-term market cycles, longer-term planetary cycles, and calculations of price objective targets for long-term cycle tops and bottoms, along with their patterns and sub-cycles were addressed. From there, the lessons moved into intermediate- and shorter-term price calculations. The DVD and LMS (on line version) of the course will be available at the end of April, via www.merrimanmta.com. The cost of this 4-day course is $3600.

             MMTA Course 6 will take place June 2-5, 2014, also at the Michigan State University Management Education Center (MEC) in Troy, Michigan. This course will focus on short-term calculations of daily and weekly support/resistance, and trading plans to go with it. These plans will combine our knowledge of market timing tools, including cycles, geocosmic critical reversal dates, and solar-0lunar combinations. For more information, please call 1-248-626-3034, or visit the MMTA website.

             The first year of MMTA (the Merriman Market Timing Academy) is now completed! The courses (all 4 together, or separately) are available via our LMS website-uploadable venue (no postage), or in DVD, to those who wish to become students of MMA's methodology. Each course comes with a full workbook (90-130 pages each). For a complete description of these courses - and those yet to come - please visit www.merrimanmta.com , or call 1-248-626-3034.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             June 2-5, 2014 : MMTA Course 6 : "Advanced Support-Resistance Calculations for Trading".

             August 25-28, 2014 : MMTA Course 7 : "Combining Technical Studies, Cycles, and Critical Reversal Dates for Traders".

             September 25-28, 2014 : The ISAR International Astrology Conference, Phoenix, AZ. This will be the "big one" next year with dozens of well-known international astrologers present ! Mark your calendars and plan to attend it. Information will soon be available at www.iasastrology.com.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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