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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
May 12 - 2014
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
The printed version of Forecast 2014 has been translated into several different languages again this year as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Russian
Spanish Italiano
Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Please note : The Forecast 2014 Book is out. The archive of the Forecast 2014 speech is available for viewing on line until January 14. A DVD and/or CD of the same speech will be available in the first week of January. It will also be available via download of a streaming video (no postage). The speech went extremely well. For more information on ordering these products.
The Market Week in Review :
It keeps trying to make a new all-time high, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average continues to turn back on challenges to the 16,631 crest of April 4. Interestingly enough, that was the time of the new moon in Aries, setting off the Grand Cardinal Cross. Now, this week of May 12 will find Venus doing the same thing. It's deja vu all over again, with Venus now conjunct Uranus, square Pluto and Jupiter, and in opposition to Mars, May 11-18.
Equity markets around the world were relatively tame last week, with most trying to make new highs but failing, and yet the sell-offs that followed each rally were not devastating. Gold and Silver held their lows of the prior week, but failed to rally enough to put to rest calls for lower prices (we will cover the long-term outlook for Silver in a special report in this week's MMA Cycle Report). The biggest market story in the last week was in the currency markets, where the Euro soared to its highest level since November 2011 on Thursday, May 8 - and then promptly sold off sharply after EBC chief Mario Draghi said that the euro's strength was "a serious concern". To which I say, "About time he noticed". With everyone else fighting to have the cheapest currency in the world, Europe is missing world market share simply due to the expensive Euro. It's just on time for Mars retrograde (May 20), a sign of another fundamental change in banking, markets, and/or world politics about to take place. Currencies would be an ideal place to start that shift.
Best Trades of the Past Week :
Our best trades of the week in the weekly subscription report were in either the stock indices or currencies. For the DJIA, the weekly report advised: " Aggressive traders are also short and may ".... cover and go long on a drop to 16,400 +/- 20, with a stop-loss on a close below 16,275". The low was 16,357 and it closed at 16,588. For the June S&P emini futures, it advised, "Aggressive traders are also short and (may) cover all shorts and go long at 1860 +/- 4, with a stop-loss on a close below 1840". The low was 1854.50 and the close was 1873.50. For the Swiss Franc currency, the report advised, "Position traders are flat and may still sell short if the Swiss Franc or Euro make a new cycle high, but not both, with a stop-loss based on a day when both do make a new cycle high. Aggressive traders are flat and may follow the same instructions as position traders". That happened on Thursday, May 8, when the Euro posted a new cycle high and the Swiss Franc fell two ticks short at 1.1493 (the prior cycle high was 1.1493). It closed the week at 1.1274.
Our best trades in the daily reports were in stocks, all week long. Monday's report for the June S&P emini contract advised, Aggressive traders were long and advised "...let's cover all longs at 1877-1883, and sell short there with a stop-loss on a close above 1892.50". The high was 1880, so we made a nice profit on the longs. The next day, Tuesday, advised, "Aggressive traders are short (and may) cover and go long at 1865.50 +/- 1, with a stop-loss on a close below 1860". The low was 1861.750 so we made a decent profit on the shorts. Two days later, on May 8, the report advised, "Aggressive traders are long (and may) cover all now, and go short if prices rally back to 1879 +/- 2, with a stop-loss on a close above 1886". The high was 1884.75, so we made another nice profit on the longs. Friday's report then advised, "Aggressive traders are now short with a stop-loss on a close above 1886. You may cover all in daily support (1862.50-1863.25) and stand aside". Bingo! The low on Friday was 1862.75, so we made yet another nice profit on the shorts.
For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
Short-Term Geocosmics :
This weekend begins the next set of important geocosmic signatures correlating with potential market reversals. From May 10, when the Sun opposes Saturn, through May 31, there will be eight major planetary aspects occurring, plus the very important Mars turning stationary direct on May 20. That's what we call a "biggie".
As stated last week , "May 11-18 is notable because Venus will translate all the planets that were involved in the Grand Cardinal Cross of April 20-23. Many of those themes may be revisited then (Ukraine, Russia, racial issues, events of nature). With Venus in Aries (a sign it is not very comfortable with), there may be announcements of agreements that are suddenly alleged to be disagreeable to some parties. The agreements are in danger of breaking down. Venus has a strong correspondence to activity in currencies, sugar, and soybeans, so we may anticipate reversals in those markets during this time".
It is now time to prepare for the end of Mars retrograde, which occurs on May 20. This is a powerful reversal signature, and it is important to note what happened politically and in financial markets when it turned retrograde (March 1). We know that the geopolitical tensions between the USA and Russia, over Ukraine, broke out then. We also know that T-Notes, Crude Oil, and Silver topped out within 3 trading days as well. T-Notes are challenging that high again. Silver appears to be doing the opposite.
Longer-Term Thoughts :
"We all become great explorers during our first few days in a new city, or a new love affair". - Mignon McLaughlin, www.brainyquote.com.
The love affair is over. It feels like a combination of Uranus square Pluto (an unexpected shock) and Neptune in Pisces (what was I thinking ?).
Over the past week, I attended a funeral in Kassel, Germany of a great man. He was part of an impressive family that included major bank executives, executives at major international corporations, artists, filmmakers and children who attend international academies where they study (among other things) the current events of the world. "Right up my alley", as we say in America. Except this alley would be a blind alley, full of unexpected Uranian awakenings for me. I thought Europe loved America. I thought Europe loved Barack Obama.
So here I was, attending a gathering of 200+ distinguished and intelligent Europeans following the very moving funeral of someone who was like a god to me. I started my discussions with a bank executive and ended with a lively debate with one of the students of a well-established international academy. The discussions went something like this :
"Why does Europe, and Germany in particular, seem so reluctant to act on the developments in Ukraine ? Aren't you concerned that this is the start of a Russian expansion that poses a danger to you" ? .
"And why are you Americans so concerned about Ukraine", they replied. "What business is it of the USA ? We don't see this as the start of an expansion by Russia into other areas. We see this as Russia protecting its own interests. After all, Crimea is the only outlet Russia has for its navy to the south, and if Ukraine joins NATO, Russia is locked in. It can't defend itself to the south. If, as a NATO nation, the USA or NATO decides to establish military bases or defensive shields there, it is a threat to Russia's security, or ability to defend itself if its water routes through Crimea are compromised. And besides, they had an election in Crimea and the people voted overwhelmingly that they wanted to be part of Russia, not Ukraine. Why does the USA have an issue with democracy at work" ? .
"But aren't you concerned that it will not end there, that Putin (pronounced 'Pu-teen,' like 'protein,' which was another learning experience) will be emboldened to expand next into the Baltic nations, or even Poland, once he takes over Ukraine" ? , I asked. "I mean, here is a man who had promised not to get involved in Ukraine, who said he has not ordered military troops to be stationed there, and then got involved in Ukraine and did station troops there... I mean, do you really trust him when he says it will stop here ? Because in America, we think this is the start of a new cold war and Putin wants to recover all the former Soviet bloc countries".
Their eyes opened wide. I thought I had them there. "You talk about 'can we trust Putin ?' You Americans talk about trust as if we can trust you, after your NSA spies on our leaders and your own citizens. Your president kept it from everyone until Snowden revealed this hidden secret. He promised to end it, but then changed it to only ending some of that spying - maybe. You talk about our 37% dependence on Russian oil as if Putin will stop the flow of oil to us if he gets Ukraine, and how you can make up that difference so we don't have to depend upon Russia. But Russia and Putin have been very reliable in delivering oil as they have promised to us for many years. They have not let us down, and they have an economic motive to stay the course with us. The Americans, on the other hand, why should we believe we can depend upon you and your promises ? Did it work for Iraq ? Afghanistan ? Syrian rebels with red lines in the sand ? Even Poland and the defensive missile shields you promised and then took back ? Isn't all this concern with Ukraine really about you Americans and your insatiable appetite to expand your own trade markets, like your own future oil exports ? Why would we be better off depending upon you rather than Russia, who has been a nearby and dependable economic partner with us" ? .
Well, I didn't really know, I admitted. "But do you really believe Russia and Putin are more dependable and trustworthy than the USA and Obama ? And don't you think it would be a good idea for the nations in NATO to have a meeting and discuss how to protect one another in case this is just the first step in a new Russian expansionist movement ? I mean, do you think the Baltic nations and Poland for instance, are safe and can defend themselves in that event ? What would you do" ?.
"We believe Putin and Russia will not expand there and risk taking on NATO", they explained. "We are more concerned with the American's urge to expand their influence and their markets at our expense, and their tendency to interfere with and try to influence our lives. But maybe wouldn't hurt for NATO to have such a meeting and discuss how they can better protect and defend one another. However if NATO start too train and amass troops defensively along these borders, we fear it would cause public alarm and even panic that we are starting World War III. We don't want to create a panic, for that could lead to a serious depression of the world economy".
"Ah", I thought. The trust is gone. "But don't you still trust and respect President Obama" ? .
"No. Not after NSA and the drones. He loves those drones, we hate those drones. We hate the spying by your government. Your president who supports this, is not the great man we thought he was".
Oh, boy. This is not good. The love is gone too. After five years of believing our image in Europe had changed - had vastly improved - after the last presidency, I suddenly realized the world had changed back again. One of the people present reminded me that at the time of the first Obama inauguration, when Europe was so enthralled with Obama, I had forecasted that the inauguration chart suggested that people everywhere could very well end up disappointed and disillusioned. Europeans weren't happy at the time with that forecast. They loved Obama and his oratorical eloquence. But now, all that has changed. Even so, the suddenness of the turn in just the past few months has surprised me. The Uranus-Pluto square had, after all, formed a T-square to my own natal Neptune, planet of delusion. I think most Americans missed this shift that was - is - occurring under Uranus square Pluto. I thought the Russians and perhaps Europeans were under the spell of their media, but not so much America. But in America, we are too. Talk about a Neptune in Pisces delusion. Talk about a Uranus square Pluto awakening !.
What we really need to talk about is a return to trust in our leaders and a global healing involving America with the rest of the world. I thought this was the hope - the "promise" - with the 2008 election. I thought we made progress. However, we are right back to that point again, if my experience with these German intellectuals and business/banking executives is any indication.
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
There will be a Special Report on Silver in this month's edition of the MMA Cycles Report, which will be released Monday night to all subscribers of that report. If you are not a subscriber to the MMA Cycles Report and wish a copy of this Special Silver report, we suggest you take out a 2-issue trial subscription for $50.00. In addition to the special report on Silver, the monthly MMA Cycles Report also covers the outlook for U.S. stock indices, Gold, Silver, Treasuries, Currencies (Euro and Swiss Franc), Crude Oil and Soybeans over the next several weeks and months. The MMA Japan Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. The MMA European Cycles Report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX. These two reports come out Wednesday. For further information and subscription.
We are pleased to announce that very soon, we will be posting our weekly columns in India. MMA-India will be directed by MMTA Apprentice Nitin Bhandari, and will include subscription services to all of our reports, as well as availability of all of our books. We will keep our readers from India informed as progress is made on this new initiative.
MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes, "You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...
Course 5 of the MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) was a great success ! This course, titled "Trading and Investing Planning: Combining Market Timing Studies and Price Objective Calculations", was held March 24-27, 2014, in Troy, Michigan. This course focused on several topics. The first was the development of a weekly and daily trading plan, based on cycles, geocosmic signatures, and solar-lunar combinations. Real-time strategies took place every morning and at the end of the trading day. Then, longer-term market cycles, longer-term planetary cycles, and calculations of price objective targets for long-term cycle tops and bottoms, along with their patterns and sub-cycles were addressed. From there, the lessons moved into intermediate- and shorter-term price calculations. The DVD and LMS (on line version) of the course will be available at the end of April, via www.merrimanmta.com. The cost of this 4-day course is $3600.
MMTA Course 6 will take place June 2-5, 2014, also at the Michigan State University Management Education Center (MEC) in Troy, Michigan. This course will focus on short-term calculations of daily and weekly support/resistance, and trading plans to go with it. These plans will combine our knowledge of market timing tools, including cycles, geocosmic critical reversal dates, and solar-0lunar combinations. For more information, please call 1-248-626-3034, or visit the MMTA website.
The first year of MMTA (the Merriman Market Timing Academy) is now completed! The courses (all 4 together, or separately) are available via our LMS website-uploadable venue (no postage), or in DVD, to those who wish to become students of MMA's methodology. Each course comes with a full workbook (90-130 pages each). For a complete description of these courses - and those yet to come - please visit www.merrimanmta.com , or call 1-248-626-3034.
Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports
went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.
Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
June 2-5, 2014 : MMTA Course 6 : "Advanced Support-Resistance Calculations for Trading".
August 25-28, 2014 : MMTA Course 7 : "Combining Technical Studies, Cycles, and Critical Reversal Dates for Traders".
September 25-28, 2014 : The ISAR International Astrology Conference, Phoenix, AZ. This will be the "big one" next year with dozens of well-known international astrologers present ! Mark your calendars and plan to attend it. Information will soon be available at www.iasastrology.com.
The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.
We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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