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The best market timing for Silver

MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
June 23 - 2014
Raymond A. Merriman©

Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.

The printed version of Forecast 2014 has been translated into several different languages again this year as follows :

ChineseChinese        Dutch        Deutsch         Japanese       Russian                               Spanish       Italiano

Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.

Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.

Please note : The Forecast 2014 Book is now available at a reduced price of $ 35.00 while supplies last. The year is now nearly half over, and already many of the forecasts made have unfolded.
The archive of the Forecast 2014 speech is available for viewing on line until January 14. A DVD and/or CD of the same speech will be available in the first week of January. It will also be available via download of a streaming video (no postage). The speech went extremely well. For more information on ordering these products.

In August, we will begin taking pre-orders for Forecast 2015 at a special pre-publication price. Stay tuned for details.

The Market Week in Review :

Stock markets around the world were mostly up last week, but there were some notable divergences and other Mercury retrograde quirks. However, the bigger story was Fed Chair Janet Yellen's commitment that interest rates will remain low through 2016, even though inflation is starting to uptick. On that note, Gold and Silver, along with Crude Oil prices, soared. Silver tested $21.00/ounce on Friday, a level not seen since March 18. Gold hit 1322.50, its highest mark since April 16. Crude Oil exploded to $107.73/barrel for the first time since September 2013. Ms. Yellen didn't seem too worried about inflation, but here is the thing : once inflation starts, it will be hard to turn back easily. Commodities traders know this. It happened in the 1970's, and like it or not, we are back to many of the political and economic conditions that existed in the 1970's. For Americans, it was a lost decade, and even though stocks are being artificially held up by the interventionist policies of the Federal Reserve, the average worker is working less, making less, and saving less than he/she has in previous "recoveries".

In Europe, the DAX soared to a new all-time on Friday and the Netherlands AEX rallied to its highest level in six years. However, neither the London FTSE nor the Zurich SMI could do the same, which presents a case of intermarket bearish divergence in that region.

In Asia and the Pacific Rim, the Japanese Nikkei performed well, rising to its highest mark since January 24. The Russian MICEX index also did very well, touching 1568 on Thursday, a nice 32% gain since its low of 1182 on March 14 when the world believed Russia was on the eve of destruction. Of course, much of its recent gains in equity values can be attributed to the recent gains in Crude Oil prices associated with the civil war unfolding in Iraq. Yet other markets in this region did not perform so well. In China, for instance, the Chinese Shanghai Composite Index is testing multi-year lows again.

The Americas were a tale of two continents as well. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P index rallied to new all-time highs by Friday, but not by much. The NASDAQ Composite rose to a new 14-year high, but just barely - by one point above its high of early March. Brazil's Bovespa index continues appreciating while the world soccer matches take place there. However, in Argentina, the equity markets fell hard last week. On June 10, the Merval index was at a historic high of 8547. By June 17, one week later, it was down to 7043 before recovering some of those losses by Friday's close.

But come on.. its Mercury retrograde (June 7-July 1). We don't expect all countries to march in step with one another. That would too easy. And one thing the Trickster detests is : simplicity. It is almost like Neptune on stimulants. The more chaos and uncertainty, the better the trip. The only problem is, oh man, what a hangover to follow.

Best Trades of the Past Week :

There is not much to report on our best new trades of the week on the weekly, as it is still too early to tell. The weekly report on T-Notes advised, "Aggressive traders are flat and may buy at 124/03-124/08, with a stop-loss on a close below 123/14". The low was 123/25 and the close was 124/12. Our major positions are the longs in currencies.

The best trades of the week in the daily reports were in Gold. Tuesday's report stated, "Aggressive traders for Monday were advised, 'Let's get out of remaining long positions at 1278-1281 and sell short with a stop-loss on a close above 1289.' OK, we got that, but I am not happy being short. Let's cover and go back long at 1265 +/- 2 with a stop-loss on a close below 1250". So for the week, we made excellent profits on Monday by exiting longs at 1278-1281, and going short there. We then made excellent profits the next day by exiting shorts at 1265 +/- 2 (the low was 1258) and going long again. By Thursday, Gold was trading above 1320.

For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.

Short-Term Geocosmics :  

It's a lot about Mercury these days. Mercury is retrograde, which usually means markets will seesaw back and forth every 1-4 days, although new cycle highs or lows can be seen along the way, especially close to the midpoint of that transit. That midpoint was June 19.

In addition to Mercury retrograde, we also observe that the heliocentric position of Mercury (which never goes retrograde) is ending its transit through the sign of Sagittarius (June 9-21). This is typically a time when the Dollar falls and precious metals rise sharply. We were not disappointed this time, as Gold soared from a low of 1240 in early June to a high of 1322.50 on Friday. Silver likewise rose from 18.67 on June 5 to nearly 21.00 on Friday, June 20.

However, all that could change now as heliocentric Mercury leaves the wild, wild, western sign of Sagittarius the mustang, for the cautious and conservative sign of Capricorn, the mountain goat. As if that were not enough, the earth will now change seasons. The summer solstice begins on Saturday, June 21, at 6:50 AM (EDT). Earth is transiting from the wild and crazy sign of the brilliant Gemini, often too clever for its own good, to the "I only want the sure thing" sign of Cancer. Gemini loves risks, while Cancer loves only certainty.

But there will be no certainty when the Sun is in Cancer for a while, not as long as Uranus and Pluto continue to T-square it from Aries and Capricorn (through 2018). The Sun will form a close T-square to those powerhouses July 1-4. In the meantime, Mars will be in opposition to Uranus this week, on June 25. That is one of the more volatile aspects for human experience, not to mention financial markets. It can coincide with upheavals of earth and nature, accidents in travel, threats from terrorists or others who might experience a temporary but dangerous outburst of personal rage leading to violence, and extreme market fluctuation. This is not likely to be a mellow Sun transit through Cancer. And it is all setting up for a potentially big rally in precious metals when it advances into Leo in late July, perhaps lasting into the autumn months.

Longer-Term Thoughts :

Humpty Dumpty sat on the wall
Humpty Dumpty had a great fall
All the King's horses and all the King's men
Couldn't put Humpty Dumpty together again

•  Nursery Rhyme, Mother Goose

Whether you are a Democrat, Liberal, Progressive, Republican, Conservative, Tea Partier, or Independent living in the USA, you cannot help but be stunned at the fall from atop the wall that President Barack Hussein Obama has undergone since the transit of Neptune and Chiron began forming a powerful T-square to his natal Moon (in Gemini) square Pluto (in Virgo) in March 2013. Every decision he makes, every statement he utters, every denial he attempts, in order to dismiss the severity of the collective concern, has turned into a public relations disaster. Every bit of advice he takes from his staff, and every effort his staff makes to reinterpret or reinvent the critical situation, has boomeranged on him, too. Nothing turns out as it should, and in the process, new polls show his approval rating and trustworthiness falling further and further.

Back in February 2013, Obama's favorable approval ratings were nearly 60%. Today, the percentage of Americans who disapprove of his job performance is nearly 60%. This is one of the many correlations to a hard transiting Neptune aspect that one can go through - scandals and loss of trust by those who previously loved and adored you. However, there is more to Neptune than that. There is the characteristic of becoming "invisible," or "non-consequential" in the eyes of others, and the theme of withdrawal and wish to escape in the eyes of the person undergoing these aspects. These characteristics are perhaps the most worrisome to citizens of a country whose leadership is undergoing these major life-altering transits.

How bad has it become for Mr. Obama and how bad can it get ? In Thursday's Wall Street Journal (June 19), in an article titled "The High Price of Obama Fatigue," columnist Daniel Henninger writes, "The world is slipping beyond President Obama's control, or interest. From here on out, it - and we - are in God's hands. Meanwhile, the Obama domestic presidency is entering its Lois Lerner phase. The Internal Revenue Service says it lost Ms. Lerner's hard drive with emails relevant to its audits of numerous conservative citizens groups. the IRS tea-party audit isn't Watergate. It's worse than Watergate. The Watergate break-in was the professionals of the party going after the party professionals of the party out of power. The IRS scandal is the party in power going after the most average Americans imaginable". Does this not sound like Pluto in opposition to the USA Sun (its leader), square its natal Saturn ? Does it not sound like a transiting Neptune (disappearance) in opposition to the president's natal Pluto (power), and square his natal Moon (reputation) ?.

As Mundane Astrologers look at the transits to the charts of the USA and President Obama, they probably see signs of relief. After all, Uranus in Aries is making a trine to Obama's natal Sun. That can indicate renewed attraction. Next month, Jupiter will enter his sun sign of Leo, a 12-year cosmic cycle that lasts about one year, a personal cycle astrologers generally believe portends great success. But will it be enough to undo the inner and outer trajectory of Obama's collapse and his "fatiguing" influence on the life of ordinary United States citizens, as depicted by the T-square of Neptune to his natal Moon-Pluto square, and the continuing grand square formed to the USA's Sun-Saturn square by transiting Uranus-Pluto square ?.

Or, stated another way, is it possible for all the King's horses and all the King's men to put Humpty Dumpty together again ? Or has the shell been irreversibly broken ?.

To be continued (next week).

Announcements :

             On June 12, we did our semiannual interview with Radio Nikkei of Tokyo, Japan. They always ask timely and important questions about financial markets and geopolitics. The transcript of this interview available to subscribers of MMA subscription reports right after the interview is concluded. If you would like a copy of this transcript, and are not a subscriber, please go to www.mmacycles.com, and consider taking out a trial subscription. The markets they will ask about include: DJIA, Nikkei, NASDAQ, Gold, Euro, Yen, Grains, and Crude Oil.

             MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes, "You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...

             The seventh and final Course in the 2-year the MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) training program will take place August 25-28, 2014, at the Michigan State University's Management Educational Center (MEC) in Troy, Michigan. The title of this course is "Strategies : Putting It All Together". This course will go over each part of the various investment and trading plans using the market timing, technical, price objective, and trend indicator tools studied in these courses. Special attention will be given to the various buy and sell strategies for both position and aggressive traders, once the market enters the time band for a geocosmic critical reversal zone or solar-lunar reversal date. The cost of this course is $3600, and it is available on line or via live attendance. For further information, please visit www.mmacycles.com, www.merrimanmta.com, call 1-248-626-3034, or email ordersmma@msn.com. The course will be open to all subscribers to join.

             The first year of MMTA (the Merriman Market Timing Academy) is now completed! The courses (all 4 together, or separately) are available via our LMS website-uploadable venue (no postage), or in DVD, to those who wish to become students of MMA's methodology. Each course comes with a full workbook (90-130 pages each). For a complete description of these courses - and those yet to come - please visit www.merrimanmta.com, or call 1-248-626-3034.

             Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, or attachment via direct emails, for subscribers.

- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

             Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.

             If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations, (see a sample there, of the weekly). It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.  

Upcoming Events :

             August 25-28, 2014 : MMTA Course 7 : "Combining Technical Studies, Cycles, and Critical Reversal Dates for Traders". The final course of the 2-year academy.

             September 25-28, 2014 : The ISAR International Astrology Conference, Phoenix, AZ. This will be the "big one" next year with dozens of well-known international astrologers present ! Mark your calendars and plan to attend it. Information will soon be available at www.iasastrology.com.

             The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.

             We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.

             I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.

             To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.

             The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.


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