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MMA COMMENTS FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING
June 30 - 2014
Raymond A. Merriman©
Financial Market Analyst & Market Timer.
The printed version of Forecast 2014 has been translated into several different languages again this year as follows :
Chinese
Dutch
Deutsch
Japanese
Russian
Spanish Italiano
Each of these will also offer the English version of Forecast 2014, as will our Chinese distributor : Your work is essential to anyone who is serious in this field. I can't thank you enough for it.
Go to the sheet for Downloading the video for the Ultimate book on stock market timing.
Please note : The Forecast 2014 Book is now available at a reduced price of $ 35.00 while supplies last. The year is now nearly half over, and already many of the forecasts made have unfolded.
The archive of the Forecast 2014 speech is available for viewing on line until January 14. A DVD and/or CD of the same speech will be available in the first week of January. It will also be available via download of a streaming video (no postage). The speech went extremely well. For more information on ordering these products.
In August, we will begin taking pre-orders for Forecast 2015 at a special pre-publication price. Stay tuned for details.
The Market Week in Review :
The current transit of Mercury retrograde will come to an end this Tuesday, July 1. Like most Mercury retrograde periods, this one was a real head scratcher. You never really know what to expect when the ephemeral road runner takes a sudden detour down a path you didn't even know existed. You blink hard (but not long) and think something like, "Where did this come from" ? Or, "Where is this going to lead" ? Or, "Holy moly, what next" ? These twists and turns were of course most evident during the past three weeks in the U.S. government (see Longer-Term Thoughts). But it was also a world of divergences in financial markets.
In Europe, stock indices were mostly down all week after reaching cycle highs June 20 in the German DAX and AEX. The Zurich SMI Index formed its multi-year high on June 11, our three-star critical reversal date, while the London FTSE topped out on May15. This created a case of regional intermarket bearish divergence off the June 20 high. All fell throughout most of the last week.
However, it was different story in many Far Eastern markets. China's Shanghai Composite the Hang Seng of China both bottomed on June 20 and then proceeded to rally all of last week. Australia's All Ordinaries also rallied in to the end of the week. India's Sensex index topped out June 11 (MMA's three-star critical reversal date again), then fell hard into June 23, but then moved sideways the rest of the week. Japan's Nikkei Index, on the other hand, behaved like the European equity markets. It made a major cycle crest on Monday, June 23, and then sold off the rest of the week.
In the Americas, the S&P nearby futures made a new all-time on Tuesday, June 24, while the NASDAQ Composite kissed the 4400 mark the same day (and again on Friday, June 27) for the first time since 2000. The DJIA tried to make a new all-time high the same day, but fell short by about 9 points. Each of these markets then sold off into Thursday, all but the NASDAQ closing lower on the week, for yet another case of regional intermarket bearish divergence.
Will these bearish intermarket divergence signals mean anything under Mercury retrograde ? No one knows for certain, for this is a time when charting and technical signals are often unreliable. It may take another two weeks to know for sure - just in time for changes in direction with both Uranus and Saturn on July 20-21. Those planetary changes in direction (as seen from Earth) are even more powerful (and dangerous) than Mercury.
Amidst this decline in many stock indices, Gold and Silver held most of their gains from the prior week. Crude Oil, on the other hand, gave back a good chunk of its gains from the week before. So which way will the Road Runner veer off to this week ? It will be a holiday week in the United States. Market will be closed in observance of the July 4 Independence Day.
Best Trades of the Past Week :
As Mercury is retrograde, we do not make new recommendations to position traders as a rule. We do for aggressive short-term traders. Last week's report for the S&P E-Mini contract advised, "Aggressive traders may... return to the short side on an intermarket bearish divergence condition (ESU or DJIA make a new weekly high, but not both), with a stop-loss based on a time when both close above their highs of last week. It is possible that could even happen on Monday". It did, as ESU made a new all-time of 1959 on Monday (it went to 1960 on Tuesday), but the DJIA did not eclipse its all-time high of the prior week, which was 16,978 (it reached 16,969 on Tuesday). The September S&P e-mini closed the week at 1952 after falling as low as 1936 on Thursday.
The best trades of the week in the daily reports were also in stock indices. Wednesday's report for the DJIA advised, "Aggressive traders ... (may) return to the short side on a rally to 16,850-16,900, with a stop-loss on a close above 16,978 or daily resistance, depending on your risk allowance". The high that day was 16,883. It fell to 16,746 on Thursday. It closed the week at 16,851, so it's too early to determine if this trade will end up as the best trade of last week.
For more information on the daily or weekly market reports, please follow this link, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
Short-Term Geocosmics :
The next several weeks may be like living inside a pinball machine. Between June 26 and August 9, there are no less than 20 important geocosmic signatures unfolding. Just when you thought matters might be settling down after Mercury turns direct on July 1, along comes the Sun to form a T-square with the seemingly never-ending Uranus-Pluto waxing square, July 4-8. But that is only a prelude to what will happen July 16-21, when first Jupiter moves out of Cancer and into Leo, followed by the Sun square Mars on July 19, and then Saturn and Uranus both changing direction July 20-21. That's like coming in from a torrential rain storm to find you left your stove on and now your kitchen is on fire. Well, OK, maybe not that bad. Maybe your landlord announces he has sold the house you rent and now you have to pack up and leave. Well, maybe not that bad, either. Maybe you made a deal to change your job and your new employer informs you that he changed his/her mind. The position is not open after all. Wait a minute! Can't something good happen here? Sure. Your old computer or cell phone stops working and you find a great new computer/cell phone to replace it at a good price. But you still have to load all your old contacts by hand because you lost the address files of the former ones. But the new computer/phone looks good and works great!
The point is this : the expectations of the political and financial world can be tossed out this month of July and even into August. Even though Mercury has turned direct, there are still a boatload of sudden surprises and uprisings ahead that will likely necessitate a change of outlook and strategy. The influence of Mercury is morphing into a Saturn-Uranus mismatch. It's a clash between the old and new, the progressives and conservatives, manufacturing versus technology, the desire for peace versus the primal urge for conflict, control, and dominance. Equity markets are prone to upheavals during such bouts of cosmic thunder. Support zones could break down.
Longer-Term Thoughts :
Where do you start with the avalanche of news that continually pours on to this poor President ? As Mundane and Financial Astrologers, we know that under hard Neptune transiting aspects to your natal chart, you are either a masochist or convinced you are a victim of other people's wishes to ruin you. That is, if you don't live under a delusionary cloud that you are really a god disguised as a mortal being doing the work of some higher mind, if there is a mind higher than your own. I mean, under Neptune, you have to be careful of everything you do and say, lest you are prepared to see everything you touch turn from gold into lead... and it weighs so heavily on you when those "phony scandals" continue to just happen out of nowhere.
So here is the week that went by for our besieged president, who is under a transiting Neptune T-square to his natal Moon square Pluto. He wakes up early last week to find that both Iran and Syria are attacking ISIS, the new terrorist organization that is overtaking Iraq. He - not Syria and Iran - is supposed to be rescuing Iraq! Or at least he is supposed to be cobbling the rescue of Baghdad with USA allies before the ISIS forces run it over. But who comes in first ? Iran and Syria, two nations that have been the source of untold troubles for the USA since... well, certainly since Obama became president. First it was Russia coming to his rescue when he drew the "red line in the sand" over Syria's chemical weapons last year. Now it's Syria and Iran coming to rescue while he tries to figure out how to save Baghdad from the ISIS terrorists. He must be asking : "Where are my friends ? Or is the enemy of my enemy my real friend" ?.
Maybe Hillary Clinton is his friend. But wait a minute! On Friday, CNBC.com reports that "A new book claims that former Secretary of State and potential presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton called President Barack Obama "incompetent and feckless". The book quoted Clinton as adding : 'The thing with Obama is that he can't be bothered, and there is no hand on the tiller half the time. That's the story of the Obama presidency. No hand on the f-king tiller.' Clinton served as Obama's Secretary of State until February 2013". How does that go again ? The enemy of my enemy is my friend... but who is my friend ? Under Neptune, can you trust anyone ? Does anyone trust you anymore ?.
Ah, but maybe his friend John Boehner (Speaker of the House) will come to his rescue. Let's see, what had Boehner done for the president last week ? Oh yes. He initiated a law suit against the President for "... trampling on the separation of powers" between the executive and legislative branches. Obama bears responsibility for "aggressive unilateralism". He doesn't allow Congress to do its job (as if Congress really tries to do its job in any sort of bipartisan way). For instance, Obama has unilaterally made 38 changes in the Affordable Health Care Act without legislative approval, and well, you can't just rewrite the laws that Congress passed without Congressional consent. Can you ? It depends upon whose world you live in.
Well, maybe the Supreme Court of the Land will come to the rescue, for after all, anyone undergoing such a Neptune deluge need someone to come to the rescue (or someone they can rescue). But no, the Supremes also passed down an important decision this week when they determined that Mr. Obama exceeded his authority. The main headline in Friday's Wall Street Journal blared out, "High Court Curbs Presidential Power".
Well maybe the IRS can help. No, better not go there. All the emails of Lois Lerner that Congress had subpoenaed have all of sudden disappeared in a computer crash and can't be revered. Or so the IRS said last week, after just a couple of months ago stating they would be handed over by now. How could these records suddenly disappear like that ? What would happen if you told the IRS that your records that they requested just disappeared ? Well, that is life with Neptune. Nothing is as it seems, if it even exists at all. But suspicion... that does exist in the wake of it all. I mean, does anyone believe there is not even a "smidgen of corruption" here ? You have to be under the influence of Neptune to think this is even somewhat believable now.
Ah, but there are always the friends in Europe, like Germany. But ... oops... last week the German government ended its contract with Verizon because of security concerns. Verizon was one of the companies providing data to the NSA's cyber spying efforts. According to Friday's Wall Street Journal, the Germans had "... concerns about network security, one of the most concrete signs yet that disclosures about U.S. spying were hurting American technology companies overseas". The NSA had spied on German Chancellor Angela Markel, a no-no to the Germans. Heck, it's a no-no to the Americans, too, who learned that their phone conversations and emails had been collected by NSA, a practice which Obama changed, but defended at the same time. And that's one of the problems oftentimes under Neptune transits : you strive to do the right thing, to say the right things, but for some reason, the words don't comply with the actions.
Ah, well. At least the economy is going well, and people vote by their pocketbooks, right ? But, oh no... last week's economic reports showed that the USA economy contracted at a very surprising rate of -2.9%, its worst performance since early 2009 ! And inflation spiked up to its highest level since October 2012 ! How did that suddenly happen ? Let me see now... prices are going up, but people are not buying goods and workers are not producing... I know ! It must be an aberration! Isn't that the hallmark of Neptune ? It's all an aberration. Everything is fine. Go out and have fun. Enjoy life... at least until Uranus and Saturn change directions together July 20-21. Then you can wake up and deal with reality - maybe a new reality - if it's not too late. Or even if it is, there is an old saying : "Better late than never". I think someone with an active Neptune must have made that one up, too.
In the meantime, do not expect the U.S. government scandals to abate. Yet there is a silver lining in the heavens for the president. Jupiter goes into Leo on July 16, and he is a Leo sun sign. That portends a favorable year for all Leos. There will be opportunities to rebound and claim new gains. But there is one catch. If you go too far over the boundaries with Jupiter, gains quickly evaporate into larger losses. This is especially if you are still struggling with the trust issues of Neptune. And even more so if the country is still struggling with transiting Uranus-Pluto forming a grand square to its natal Sun (President) and Saturn (government). It's a recipe for big changes.
To be continued (next week).
Announcements :
MMA's weekly and daily reports have been extremely accurate and profitable over the past several weeks, especially in equity indices, crude oil, and precious metals. If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or Daily Market reports. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. These weekly reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver, plus GLD and SLV (the Gold and Silver ETF's). Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). And since early December, these reports have been extremely profitable. As subscriber and trader R.B. of Albuquerque, NM writes, "You have been on an incredible run for a while ; I have never seen anything like it". Well, when everything lines up just right...
The seventh and final Course in the 2-year the MMTA (Merriman Market Timing Academy) training program will take place August 25-28, 2014, at the Michigan State University's Management Educational Center (MEC) in Troy, Michigan. The title of this course is "Strategies : Putting It All Together". This course will go over each part of the various investment and trading plans using the market timing, technical, price objective, and trend indicator tools studied in these courses. Special attention will be given to the various buy and sell strategies for both position and aggressive traders, once the market enters the time band for a geocosmic critical reversal zone or solar-lunar reversal date. The cost of this course is $3600, and it is available on line or via live attendance. For further information, please visit www.mmacycles.com, www.merrimanmta.com, call 1-248-626-3034, or email ordersmma@msn.com. The course will be open to all subscribers to join.
The first year of MMTA (the Merriman Market Timing Academy) is now completed! The courses (all 4 together, or separately) are available via our LMS website-uploadable venue (no postage), or in DVD, to those who wish to become students of MMA's methodology. Each course comes with a full workbook (90-130 pages each). For a complete description of these courses - and those yet to come - please visit www.merrimanmta.com, or call 1-248-626-3034.
Our monthly MMA Cycles report and its companion MMA Japanese Cycles and MMA European Cycles reports
went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email.
- This report covers our long term analysis of the stock market (DJIA and S&P futures), Gold, Silver, T-Notes, Euro and Swiss Franc currencies, grains and crude oil. It also provides the list of geocosmic and solar-lunar reversal zones for the 1-2 months. This report comes out Monday night to subscribers.
- The MMA Japanese Markets Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen.
- The new MMA Europe Cycles report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX stock indices, each in english only and will be available on Wednesday.
Two-issue trial subscriptions are available for this service for $50.00, which includes the current issue and the next month's as well.
For subscription information, please go to our web site, or call us at 1-248-626-3034. If you are not a subscriber, you can check this service out on a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.
Speaking of our weekly subscription reports, we now offer a new one titled : MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens.
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations,
(see a sample there, of the weekly).
It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report.
If you want more information call our offices at 1-248-626-3034.
These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers :I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000. Thanks for your excellent publications. - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Upcoming Events :
August 25-28, 2014 : MMTA Course 7 : "Combining Technical Studies, Cycles, and Critical Reversal Dates for Traders". The final course of the 2-year academy.
September 25-28, 2014 : The ISAR International Astrology Conference, Phoenix, AZ. This will be the "big one" next year with dozens of well-known international astrologers present ! Mark your calendars and plan to attend it. Information will soon be available at www.iasastrology.com.
January 16, 2015 : Zurich, Switzerland "Trends for 2015". This will part of a congress on Forecasts for 2015, including Claude Weiss, Monica Kissling. Alexandra Klingenhammer, Verena Bachmann, and Christoph-Schubert-Weller.
January 17, 2015 : Zurich, Switzerland.
A special 5-hour workshop on "The Current Cyclical State of Financial Markets : Where Do We Go from Here ?" 10:30 AM - 4:30 PM. Location will be the Congress House in Zurich. Sponsored by AstroData and MMA-Europe.
For further information, please go to there, or contact ASTRODATA AG, Tel. 41 (0) 43 343 33 66, or email. This will be special, and a great opportunity to meet some very impressive market timers who will be present. Register now as seating is limited !.
The MMA Catalogue of products and services for 2013 is now out!!! You can download it in PDF. The ordering page is the last page of the catalogue. This is especially useful for those outside of the USA, since we do not mail these out by mail unless requested.
We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing has just been completed. For more information and ordering, please contact www.lecochonsideral.info/semana.html.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 545-5837. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market. They will be more than happy to assist you.
To the above list, I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded theBest in-house fund of funds in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
The newly revised The Sun, The Moon, and Silver Book : Secrets of a Silver Trader, is now out. This is a book that you will use as a reference guide for...many, many years. It identifies all the key Sun-Moon combinations that have a higher (and lower) than expected probability of correlating with 4% or greater reversals in COMEX Silver. It also identifiesBig Range Days - those days in which the range of Silver is most likely to be 3.5% or more of the price of Silver, which is a great tool for day traders. This book fulfills the dream of all traders : high probability winning trade possibilities, with minimal market exposure. It is thatextra edge. And Silver is a great market to trade now. The cost is $125.00. For ordering on line.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose : The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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